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2008 미국의 대통령 예비선거: 프론트로딩의 심화와 개혁 아젠다의 부상

2008 U. S. Presidential Primary : the Culmination of Frontloading and the Inevitability of Reforms

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The 2008 U. S. presidential primary sounded alarm bells over the institutional problems of the current primary-centered nominating system while making a distinguished record of frontloading. The 2008 calendar was the most frontloaded with respect to the delegates at stake and the number of primaries. The current primary system takes credit for its democratic value and openness, at which the 1972 McGovern-Fraser reform was directed, but the race to the front among state parties and its aggravation in the 2008 primary is again boosting the necessity of a new institutional reform. This article illuminates major reform proposals, which have drawn special attention in the context of the recent reform movement, such as a national primary plan, rotating regional primary plan, Delaware plan, and American plan. These plans are approached and examined in terms of principles like meaningful choices, fair representation, and the quality of political discourse. This article notes that the leaders of both Democratic and Republican Party are likely to choose a form of grouped primaries which may feature the merits of American and Delaware plan in order to avoid the trend toward a national primary.

Abstract

The 2008 U. S. presidential primary sounded alarm bells over the institutional problems of the current primary-centered nominating system while making a distinguished record of frontloading. The 2008 calendar was the most frontloaded with respect to the delegates at stake and the number of primaries. The current primary system takes credit for its democratic value and openness, at which the 1972 McGovern-Fraser reform was directed, but the race to the front among state parties and its aggravation in the 2008 primary is again boosting the necessity of a new institutional reform. This article illuminates major reform proposals, which have drawn special attention in the context of the recent reform movement, such as a national primary plan, rotating regional primary plan, Delaware plan, and American plan. These plans are approached and examined in terms of principles like meaningful choices, fair representation, and the quality of political discourse. This article notes that the leaders of both Democratic and Republican Party are likely to choose a form of grouped primaries which may feature the merits of American and Delaware plan in order to avoid the trend toward a national primary.

참고문헌 (18)

  1. 안순철, "미국의 예비선거:비교정치학적 접근" (2005), 단국대학교출판부
  2. Adams, William C., "As New Hampshire Goes...,” in Garry R. Orren and Nelson W. Polsby, Media and Momentum: The New Hampshire Primary and Nomination Politics" (1987), Chatham House
  3. Bartels,Larry M., "Presidential Primaries and the Dynamics of Public Choice" (1988), Princeton University Press
  4. Broder, David S., "GOP Scraps Plan to Alter Primary Schedule, Washington Post", ~ (2000)
  5. Buell, Emmett H., Jr,, "Locals and Cosmopolitans: National, Regional, and State Newspaper Coverage of the New Hampshire Primary, in Garry R. Orren and Nelson W. Polsby", The New Hampshire Primary and Nomination Politics
  6. Busch, Andrew E., "The Front-Loading Problem, in William G. Mayer, The Making of the Presidential Candidates 2004" (2004), Rowman and Littlefield Publishers,Inc.
  7. Ceaser,James W, "Reforming the Reforms:A Critical Analysis of the Presidential Selection Process" (1982), Ballinger Publishing Company
  8. Coleman, Kevin J., "CRS Report for Congress:Presidential Nominating Process.", Congressional Research Service, ~ (2008)
  9. Cook,Rhodes, "The Presidential Nomination Process:A Place for US" (2004), Rowman & Littlefield Publishers,Inc.
  10. Dahl,Robert A., "Myth of a Presidential Mandate", Political Science Quarterly, ~ (1990)
  11. Davis, James W, "The Case against the Current Primary-Centered System, in Robert E. DiClerico and James W. Davis, Choosing Our Choices: Debating the Presidential Nominating Process" (2000), Rowman & Littlefield Publishers Inc.
  12. DiClerico, Robert E., "In Defense of the Presidential Nominating Process, in Robert E. DiClerico and James W. Davis, Choosing Our Choices: Debating the Presidential Nominating Process" (2000), Rowman & Littlefield Publishers Inc.
  13. Jackson, John S. III, "The Politics of Presidential Selection,2nd" (2001), Addison-Wesley Educational Publishers Inc.
  14. King, Anthony, "How Not to Select Presidential Candidates: A View from Europe, in Austin Ranney, The American Elections of 1980" (1981), American Enterprise Institute
  15. Moore,David, "The Death of Politics in New Hampshire, in Michael J. Robinson and Austin Ranney, The Mass Media in Campaign '84: Articles from Public Opinion Magazine" (1985), American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research
  16. Sanford, Terry, "Danger of Democracy: The Presidential Nominating Process" (1981), Westview
  17. Seib, Gerald F., "Primary Issues: If It's Broke, Why Not Fix It? Wall Street Journal", ~ (1996)
  18. Wattier,Mark J., "Presidential Primaries and Frontloading: An Empirical Polemic. Paper prepared for State of the Party: 2004 & Beyond, a conference sponsored by the Ray C" (2005), University of Akron, Ohio

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