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Nuclear Belligerence to Perpetuate Security Dominance

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국제학연구소 (The Keimyung Institute for International Studies)|2019.06|Journal of International and Area Studies|제26권 제1호|pp. 1-19|DOI 10.23071/jias.2019.26.1.1

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참고문헌

키워드

disputesnuclear weaponsnuclear asymmetrynuclear statesenduring rivalrymajor power
주제분류정치외교학

초록

This paper aims to examine whether nuclear states are belligerent by using three analytical dimensions which are nuclear asymmetry, enduring rivalry, and major power status. I argue that nuclear states gain an absolute advantage over nonnuclear and tend to perpetuate security dominance by employing military means. My multinomial logit regression analysis using the directed-dyad sample of 1816-2001 reveals that nuclear states are far more likely to initiate threat and use of force against nonnuclear states. In addition, when major powers obtain nuclear weapons, they are more likely to initiate display, use of force, and war against nonnuclear minor targets. Finally, nuclear states are much more likely to initiate display and use of force against their nonnuclear enduring rivals.

Abstract

This paper aims to examine whether nuclear states are belligerent by using three analytical dimensions which are nuclear asymmetry, enduring rivalry, and major power status. I argue that nuclear states gain an absolute advantage over nonnuclear and tend to perpetuate security dominance by employing military means. My multinomial logit regression analysis using the directed-dyad sample of 1816-2001 reveals that nuclear states are far more likely to initiate threat and use of force against nonnuclear states. In addition, when major powers obtain nuclear weapons, they are more likely to initiate display, use of force, and war against nonnuclear minor targets. Finally, nuclear states are much more likely to initiate display and use of force against their nonnuclear enduring rivals.

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