남미공동시장(MERCOSUR)에서 아르헨티나-브라질 간 자동차협정이 자동차 산업의 비대칭성에 미친 영향 분석
The Effect of MERCOSUR's Automotive Agreement on Asymmetric Improvement of Automotive Industry
0
조회
0
다운로드
1
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
This paper analyzes how the automotive agreement between Argentina and Brazil contributed to the improvement of the asymmetries of the automotive industry between the two countries during the 30th anniversary of the MERCOSUR’s automotive agreement. As a result of the analysis, it can be concluded that the automobile agreement has a certain positive effect on the elimination of the asymmetries of the automobile industry between the two countries. Despite initial concerns about the launch of MERCOSUR, about 30 years later, the asymmetries of the automobile industry between the two countries have not deteriorated but rather improved. However, the convergence width was not large. In particular, since Brazil’s trade surplus with Argentina has been expanding since 2015, it is highly likely to develop into a possibility for future trade disputes. As a result, the concern about asymmetries might yet become a stumbling block to the full liberalization of automotive trade. It is very difficult to solve the asymmetries in the automobile industry between the two countries only through the automotive agreement. In order to improve this, complementary policy measures such as production integration policies should be concurrently carried out.
Abstract
This paper analyzes how the automotive agreement between Argentina and Brazil contributed to the improvement of the asymmetries of the automotive industry between the two countries during the 30th anniversary of the MERCOSUR’s automotive agreement. As a result of the analysis, it can be concluded that the automobile agreement has a certain positive effect on the elimination of the asymmetries of the automobile industry between the two countries. Despite initial concerns about the launch of MERCOSUR, about 30 years later, the asymmetries of the automobile industry between the two countries have not deteriorated but rather improved. However, the convergence width was not large. In particular, since Brazil’s trade surplus with Argentina has been expanding since 2015, it is highly likely to develop into a possibility for future trade disputes. As a result, the concern about asymmetries might yet become a stumbling block to the full liberalization of automotive trade. It is very difficult to solve the asymmetries in the automobile industry between the two countries only through the automotive agreement. In order to improve this, complementary policy measures such as production integration policies should be concurrently carried out.
참고문헌 (26)
- Arza, Valeria, "MERCOSUR as an Export Platform for the Automotive Industry", CEPAL Review, 103, pp.129~152 (2011), CEPAL
- Bouzas, R., "Asymmetries in Regional Integration and Local Development", pp.85~112 (2005), Inter-American Development Bank
- A Customs Union with Multinational Firms: The Automobile Market in Argentina and Brazil, "Brambilla, Irene", NBER, 1~35, pp.NBER Working Paper, No. 11745 (2005)
- Castaño, Francisco, "La política automotriz del MERCOSUR (PAM): evolución y actualidad. El eje Argentina-Brasil y su impacto sobre el bloque subregional", VIII Congreso de Relaciones Internacionales, pp.1~20 (2016)
- Dahrijah, Nadia Afita, "Determinants of Bilateral Trade between Malaysia and the United States of America: an ARDL Analysis", Oil Palm Industry Economic Journal, 17(2), pp.54~59 (2017)
- Espindola, Luiz Gustavo Manarin, "Os regimes automotivos no MERCOSUL:embates e resolucoes entre Brasil e Argentina", Graduação em Relações Internacionais, pp.2015
- Garriz, A., "Common Automotive Policy of Argentina and Brazil: its Impact on Local and Regional Auto Part Industries", 22nd International Colloquium of GERPISA, 2014, pp.22, 1~46
- Genna, Gaspare M., "The Effects of Unequal Size: Costs and Benefits of Unilateral Action in the Development of MERCOSUR", Journal of Developing Societies, 21(3–4), pp.337~355 (2005)
- Giordano, P., "El tratamiento de las asimetrias en los acuerdos de integración regional", Documento de Divulgacion, 26, pp.1~21 (2004), INTAL-ITD, BID
- Giordano, P., "Asymmetries in Regional Integration and Local Development" (2005), Inter-American Development Bank
- Hijazi, Hadi, "Asymmetries among the Members of Mercosur", Open Access Theses, 327, pp.1~73 (2012)
- Khan, M. Z. S., "A Model of Bilateral Trade Balance:Extensions and Empirical Tests", Economic Analysis and Policy, 40(3), pp.377~391 (2010)
- Kim, A., "An Empirical Analysis of Korea’s Trade Imbalances with the US and Japan", Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 14(3), pp.201~226 (2009)
- Kundu, Nobinkhor, "Bilateral Trade Balance of Bangladesh with BRICS Countries: a Static Panel Data Analysis", Journal of Economic and Development, 17(2), pp.53~68 (2015)
- Mera, Laura Gomez, "The Brazilian Automobile Regime: Explaining Brazil’s Defection from MERCOSUR Treaties 1995", European Consortium for Political Research, Joint Sessions (Workshop:The Political Economyof Foreign Economic Liberalization), pp.1~24 (2002)
- The Impact of MERCOSUR on the Automobile Industry, "O’Keefe, Thomas A.", 1~31, pp.North-South Agenda Papers, No. 50 (2001)
- Sharif, Mohamed Nur, "Determinants of Trade Balance in Somalia: Regression Analysis using Time Series Data", Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 7(12), pp.62~71 (2016)
- Suphian, Robert, "Trade Balance Determinants in East African Countries", Business Management Review, pp.78~88 (2017)
- Terra, Maria Ines, "MERCOSUR: Treatment of Asymmetries and Economic Growth", 2009 Conference Paper, Presented at the 12th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, pp.1~21 (2009)
- Ventura-Dias, Vivianne, "Asymmetries in Economic Integration: Major Issues and Policy Options for the Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA)", Colloque Construire les Amériques, pp.1~18 (2003)
- Does Mercosur’s Trade Performance Raise Concerns about the Effects of Regional Trade Arrangements?, "Yeats, Alexander J.", 1~33, pp.Policy Research Working Paper 1729 (1997)
- "UN Comtrade"[URL]