브라질 온실가스 배출의 변동요인 분석
Analyzing the causes of GHG(Green House Gas) fluctuations in Brazil
0
조회
0
다운로드
0
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
Brazil is a large emitter of greenhouse gases, where landuse change, such as deforestration, is a main source of emission. While the literature of GHG emissions in Brazil has focused on forest loss, this study extends the analysis to 26 industries, including forests. It measures the contribution of government policies and emission technologies to the variation in emissions. The analysis shows that only one of the 26 industries, petroleum/chemicals/non-metallic minerals, has seen a reduction in GHG emissions over the past 20 years due to technological and policy changes. While technology and policy changes in the agricultural sector resulted in sharp reductions in emissions during the period when forest protection policies were strongly implemented under Lula(2003~2010), emissions increased again under Bolsonaro. As a result, over the 20-year period, there was no reduction in GHG emissions from agriculture due to technology and policy changes. The analysis also found that most industries have adopted technologies or policies that have increased GHG emissions.
Abstract
Brazil is a large emitter of greenhouse gases, where landuse change, such as deforestration, is a main source of emission. While the literature of GHG emissions in Brazil has focused on forest loss, this study extends the analysis to 26 industries, including forests. It measures the contribution of government policies and emission technologies to the variation in emissions. The analysis shows that only one of the 26 industries, petroleum/chemicals/non-metallic minerals, has seen a reduction in GHG emissions over the past 20 years due to technological and policy changes. While technology and policy changes in the agricultural sector resulted in sharp reductions in emissions during the period when forest protection policies were strongly implemented under Lula(2003~2010), emissions increased again under Bolsonaro. As a result, over the 20-year period, there was no reduction in GHG emissions from agriculture due to technology and policy changes. The analysis also found that most industries have adopted technologies or policies that have increased GHG emissions.
참고문헌 (11)
- Assunção, Juliano, "Deforestation slowdown in the Brazilian Amazon: prices or policies?", Environment and Development Economics, 20(6), pp.697. p.1~722. p.1 (2015)
- Assunção, Juliano, "The effect of rural credit on deforestation: Evidence from the Brazilian Amazon", The Economic Journal, 30(626), pp.290~292 (2020)
- Correa, Juliano, "Amazon Fund 10Years Later: Lessons from the World’s Largest REDD+ Program", 1~ (2019)
- European Parliament, "Brazil’s climate change policies, state of play ahead of COP27", 4~ (2022)
- Governo do Brasil, "Nova Indústria Brasil. Plano de ação para a Neoindustrialização 2024-2026", 74~90 (2024)
- "IPPC Carbon Emission Factors"[URL]
- Análise das emissões de gases de efeito estufa e suas implicações para as metas climáticas do Brasil 1970-2021, "Observatório do Clima", 3~6 (2022)
- Park, Jong-wook, "Impact of Climate Change Response on Industry", Monthly Survey Statistics Bank of Korea, 75(9), pp.22~23
- Pendrill, Florence, "Disentangling the numbers behind agriculture-driven tropical deforestation", Science, 377(6611), pp.2~ (2022)
- "Deforestration Dashboard"[URL]
- "The Eora Global Supply Chain Database"[URL]