중국 셰일가스 개발 동향 및 전망 분석
Investigations on the Development Trends and Prospects of China Shale Gas Resources
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초록
최근 중국은 세계 최대의 자국 내 셰일가스 자원량을 바탕으로, 자국의 셰일가스 개발 산업의 육성과기술 개발에 큰 노력을 기울이고 있는 것으로 알려져 있다. 중국의 셰일자원 개발은 지정학적 관점은 물론 산업적, 국가경쟁력 측면에서, 가장 인접한 국가인 우리에게는 중대하고 다양한 영향을 미칠 수 있다. 이에, 본 연구에서는 과거와 현재의 중국 셰일가스전의 개발 이력, 기술개발 등의 산업적 동향을 조사하고, 이를 바탕으로 향후중국 셰일가스 산업의 발전 가능성을 분석하고자 시도하였다. 특히, 중국정부의 관련 주요정책, 국영기업을 중심으로 한 자국기업의 활동 및 세계 메이저 석유기업들의 중국시장 동향에 중점을 두어 면밀히 조사, 분석하였으며, 이를 통해 향후 우리기업의 중국 셰일자원 개발사업 진출과 참여에 도움을 주고자 하였다. 결과적으로, 중국의 셰일가스 개발 가능성과 발전 전망은 긍정적인 것으로 분석되었으나 상대적으로 상당한 장애 요소들도 공존하고 있어, 미국과 같은 셰일산업의 상업적 발전과 부흥은 장기적 관점에서 조망하는 것이 적절한 것으로 검토되었다.
Abstract
China having the world largest shale gas resources has been doing great efforts to promote domestic shale gas industry and relevant technologies. Development of China shale gas could have various and significant influences on Korea, which has crucial relationships with China in terms of not only geopolitical factors but also industrial aspects. In this study, Chinese current and past situations of shale gas industry, and technology and development trends were widely surveyed, and the future potential of shale gas industry was also investigated. Especially, relevant activities of domestic companies including Chinese NOCs and IOCs working in China have been scrutinized as being based on the Chinese national policies. As a result, it is summarized that the future growth of Chinese shale gas industry seems to be bright, otherwise it is also noted that various obstacles exist simultaneously. Then, it is concluded that the commercial expansion of Chinese shale development would require longer approaches.
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