한･중 해상-철도 연계 컨테이너 운송의 교역규모와 물동량 분석

Abstract

This study is part of a joint research conducted by Korea and China on the inter-modal container transport, which is expected to continue to expand along with economic growth in the future. This research is a quantitative analysis of the value and container volume from sea-rail inter-modal transport point of view between Korea and China. We predicted how the trade value and volume of already being transported in containers and potentially containerable items will change in 2030 from sea-rail inter-modal transport point of view. The implications are also derived through detailed analysis by the major railway routes in China. The five key findings of the quantitative analysis process are summarized as follows; First, the largest share of imports and exports in the ‘Yellow See Coastal Lane Area’ is electrical and electronic products (HS 85). Despite the recent cooling of relations between Korea and China, imports of vegetables from Shandong province in China have been gradually increasing. Second, the fact that the amount of trade between China and Korea in ‘Western Inland Lane Area’ has increased three-fold over the past three years confirms the fact that the China's western development is in full scale. Third, it is understood that the ‘Southern Inland Lane Area’ is gradually increasing in trade with the development of the Grand Canal in the Yangtze River in 2008 when the Sansha Dam was completed. Fourth, the export cargo volume to ‘Beijing Region Lane Area’ is only half that of imported cargo, so it is urgent to take measures against the export of the export to this region in our country. It is urgent to establish countermeasures against back-haul exported to the region from Korea. Lastly, it is analyzed that imports of items such as clothing(excluding knitted fabric), electrical and electronic devices, fishery products, etc., have been increasing steadily, although imports in the ‘Northeast Region Lane Area’ have not reached the level of one third of ‘Yellow See Coastal Lane Area’.