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Embedding Ballistic Missile Defence into the New Strategic Concept of NATO

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NATO’s endorsement of the Obama Administration’s European Phased Adaptive Approach (EPAA) has been one of the most strategically important decisions made in recent years. The EPAA involves a gradual deployment of increasingly advanced missile defence systems not only in Eastern Europe but across all of Europe over the course of a decade. NATO’s support for such systems prompted a series of reactions from the Russian government as well as within NATO itself. The significance of this plan brought back to the table an idea that NATO had agreed upon in 2005: the expanded development of a European ‘Active Layer Theatre Ballistic Missile Defence’ (ALTBMD) system. With growing concerns over unpredictable threats alongside ongoing concerns about insufficiencies in current BMD capacities, now firmly on NATO’s agenda, the alliance faces important decisions over how to proceed. Failure to reach an agreement could result in the weakening of an already divided alliance and undermine the alliance’s commitment to collective defence. This paper analyses the role BMD and ALTBMD in shaping NATO’s ongoing relevance; whether this is a policy area that should remain prominent in NATO’s strategic concept or whether it is an endeavour destined to waste limited NATO resources at a time of global financial constraint.

Abstract

NATO’s endorsement of the Obama Administration’s European Phased Adaptive Approach (EPAA) has been one of the most strategically important decisions made in recent years. The EPAA involves a gradual deployment of increasingly advanced missile defence systems not only in Eastern Europe but across all of Europe over the course of a decade. NATO’s support for such systems prompted a series of reactions from the Russian government as well as within NATO itself. The significance of this plan brought back to the table an idea that NATO had agreed upon in 2005: the expanded development of a European ‘Active Layer Theatre Ballistic Missile Defence’ (ALTBMD) system. With growing concerns over unpredictable threats alongside ongoing concerns about insufficiencies in current BMD capacities, now firmly on NATO’s agenda, the alliance faces important decisions over how to proceed. Failure to reach an agreement could result in the weakening of an already divided alliance and undermine the alliance’s commitment to collective defence. This paper analyses the role BMD and ALTBMD in shaping NATO’s ongoing relevance; whether this is a policy area that should remain prominent in NATO’s strategic concept or whether it is an endeavour destined to waste limited NATO resources at a time of global financial constraint.

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