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벡터오차수정모형을 이용한 REITs와 금융자산과의 실증연구

The Empirical Study of Financial Assets and REITs using Vector Error Correction Model

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The purpose of this paper is to estimate the volatility, the interactions of cause and the effects in major economic level variables through Granger Casualty Test and to grasp the casual relation by using Vector Error Correction Model in the sample period from January of 2004 to December of 2007. And we examine the dynamic movement between the return of Korea Real Estate Trusts and the return of other assets. Variables in the model are statistically significant Real Estate Investment Trusts returns, corporate bonds, and exchange rates in endogenous variables as results of Unit Root Test, Granger Casualty Test,using 9 variables. As the results of the study, Vector Error Correction Model was estimated by using the cointegration indicating long-run equilibrium relationship. It was confirmed that the cointegrated relation existed between the Real Estate Investment Trusts market and the financial asset variables through the Vector Error Correction Model analysis.

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to estimate the volatility, the interactions of cause and the effects in major economic level variables through Granger Casualty Test and to grasp the casual relation by using Vector Error Correction Model in the sample period from January of 2004 to December of 2007. And we examine the dynamic movement between the return of Korea Real Estate Trusts and the return of other assets. Variables in the model are statistically significant Real Estate Investment Trusts returns, corporate bonds, and exchange rates in endogenous variables as results of Unit Root Test, Granger Casualty Test,using 9 variables. As the results of the study, Vector Error Correction Model was estimated by using the cointegration indicating long-run equilibrium relationship. It was confirmed that the cointegrated relation existed between the Real Estate Investment Trusts market and the financial asset variables through the Vector Error Correction Model analysis.

참고문헌 (17)

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  2. 박원석, "REITs의 수익률 특성 분석- 한미간 비교분석을 중심으로", 국토지리학회지, 37(4), pp.7~ (2003), 국토지리학회
  3. 심종원, "CR REITs의 주식가격 결정요인에 관한 연구", 국토계획, 42(1), pp.113~126 (2007), 대한국토·도시계획학회
  4. 이상영, "리츠의 개념과 동향", 한국건설관리학회지, 2(2) (2001), 한국건설관리학회
  5. 장용삼, "부동산투자신탁(REITs)의 상관성에 관한 연구", 한국지적학회지, 24(1), pp.95~108 (2008), 한국지적학회
  6. 조수희, "VAR모형을 이용한 주택정책 실증 연구", 부동산학보, (31), pp.5~21 (2007), 한국부동산학회
  7. Clayton, J., "The time-varying nature of he link between REIT, real estate and financial asset returns", Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, 7(1) (2001)
  8. Dickey, D. A., "Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root", Journal of the American Statistical Associatio, 74 (1979)
  9. Glascock, J.L., "The riskiness and of REITs surrounding the October 1997 Stock Market Decline", Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 28(4) (2004)
  10. Goldstein, A., "REIT return behavior in advancing and declining stock market", Real Estate Finance, 15 (1999)
  11. Lee, S., "The case for REITs in the mixed-asset portfolio in the short and long run", Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, 11 (2005)
  12. Liang, Y., "REITs style and performance", Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, 4 (1998)
  13. Mueller, A.G., "Public and prite real estate in a mixed-asset portfolio", Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, 9(3) (2003)
  14. NAREIT, "Diversification benefits of REITs an analysis by boston associate" (2005), Real reality
  15. Phillips, P. C. B, "Testing for a unit root in time series regression", Biometrika, 75 (1988)
  16. Richard T. Garrigan, "부동산투자신탁" (2001), 부연사
  17. Ziering, B, "REIT Correlation with Capital Market Indexes:Separating Signal from Noise" (1999), Real Estate Finance

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