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A Study on the Determinants of the REITs Stock Index using VECM

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초록

This study aims to derive impact factors on the stock market and analyze the influence by building a model to determine REITs index with that derived by applying market capitalization as research target. In an empirical analysis, a vector error correction model (VECM) was used since the variables of the constructed model have characteristics of time-series variation. The results of this study are as follows. First, information about foreign investors' trends needs to be taken into account as an important factor for the investment decisions of REITs stock market. Second, the economic growth turned out to have a negative effect on REITs stock market by promoting a direct investment in the real estate market. Third, the prediction of consumer price inflation (change) should also be included in the subject of standards and considerations for rational investment decisions about REITs. Lastly, REITs can be said to lower the risk of the portfolio through diversified investment with other investment and financial products and have higher utilization as a investment that increases the return. .

Abstract

This study aims to derive impact factors on the stock market and analyze the influence by building a model to determine REITs index with that derived by applying market capitalization as research target. In an empirical analysis, a vector error correction model (VECM) was used since the variables of the constructed model have characteristics of time-series variation. The results of this study are as follows. First, information about foreign investors' trends needs to be taken into account as an important factor for the investment decisions of REITs stock market. Second, the economic growth turned out to have a negative effect on REITs stock market by promoting a direct investment in the real estate market. Third, the prediction of consumer price inflation (change) should also be included in the subject of standards and considerations for rational investment decisions about REITs. Lastly, REITs can be said to lower the risk of the portfolio through diversified investment with other investment and financial products and have higher utilization as a investment that increases the return. .

참고문헌 (13)

  1. Kim Yeong-gon, "Korea REITs", pp.28~102 (2012), Korea Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts
  2. Kim Bong-soo, "An Empirical Study on the Factors Influencing REITs Stock Price Index in Korea Stock Market", Doctor, pp.2008
  3. Ji Seong-guk, "An Empirical Analysis on the Correlation between Indirect Real Estate Investment REITs Total Returns and Macroeconomic Variables", Doctor, pp.2012
  4. Choi Cha-soon, "A Study on the Price Prediction of REITs using VAR Model", Doctor, pp.2005
  5. Park Jong-taek, "A Study on the Risk Characteristics and Determinants of Return for CR-REITs and Real Estate Investment Trusts", Doctor, pp.2003
  6. Kim Eun-hye, "An Analysis of the Relationship between Performance Measures of REITs and Stock Prices", Nurimedia journal, 39(4), pp.193~202 (2013)
  7. Jeon Hye-jeong, "An Analysis on the Dynamic Correlation between Housing Sales and Rental Market, Considering Macro-economic Factors", Seoul City Research, 13(3) (2012)
  8. MBC(Munwha Broadcasting Corp.), "MBC Economy“ February", 34~37 (2013)
  9. 홍성화, "주택시장의 내생변수가 아파트 전세가격비율에 미치는 영향분석", 주거환경, 11(1), pp.259~272 (2013), 한국주거환경학회
  10. Dipasquale, "Urban Economics and Real Estate Markets", pp.28~ (2004), Buyeonsa
  11. Gang Min-seok, "An Analysis on the Effects of Housing Policy through Spatial and Capital Market Models", Doctor, pp.2010
  12. REITs that Move the Real Estate, "Real Estate Finance Business Team of Korea Land and Housing Corporation", ~ (2000)
  13. Yoon Yoon-seok, "Understanding of REITs System and Development Directions", Digital Management Research, (9,), pp.2~ (2003)

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