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가구 특성의 변화가 주택수요에 미치는 영향

A Study on changes in Household characteristics and Housing Demand

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초록

Korea comes into the era of low growth and population decline and in order to prepare, it demands maintenance and policy improvement of step-by-step housing market. In this study, we are were discussed about housing market's structural problems due to its various factors, at the process of interconnecting between change of structure of population and housing demand in accordance with low birth rate and aging in housing market. Through Study on housing demand according to Household characteristics, we approached to continuous growth of the population, housing total supply insufficiency, and constant housing price increasement as awareness of issues ; however, it seems to change of stable housing supply policy which is suitable for housing-demand-class-by and housing-type-by, hereafter. In this study, we emphasized not only improvement in the housing market itself, but also overall social and economic structure's changing necessity, for ensuring a steady housing effective demand. As Short and long-term, from infants, adolescents, to older people, through each kind of facilities and software-like support for stable social welfare service production, we suggested to reduce indirectly social costs of possible production population, and for this, social agreement and political determination should be preceded. And in terms of housing supply, we need to move away from housing supply method of lotting-out-aim and translate to public rental housing policy-driven. If we utilize National Pension, etc., which support current financial markets for activation of rental supply, as rental housing funds. it would be plans for providing stable earning rates and at the same time, heightening rental policy. In this study, there are limits that issues derived from tax of government and company's production economics associated with the housing market, due to handling simple structure of population and housing. However, we can say it is significant meaning at the point of suggesting concealed problems in recent housing market and in the future research, we will need follow-up studies that considers government production economics.

Abstract

Korea comes into the era of low growth and population decline and in order to prepare, it demands maintenance and policy improvement of step-by-step housing market. In this study, we are were discussed about housing market's structural problems due to its various factors, at the process of interconnecting between change of structure of population and housing demand in accordance with low birth rate and aging in housing market. Through Study on housing demand according to Household characteristics, we approached to continuous growth of the population, housing total supply insufficiency, and constant housing price increasement as awareness of issues ; however, it seems to change of stable housing supply policy which is suitable for housing-demand-class-by and housing-type-by, hereafter. In this study, we emphasized not only improvement in the housing market itself, but also overall social and economic structure's changing necessity, for ensuring a steady housing effective demand. As Short and long-term, from infants, adolescents, to older people, through each kind of facilities and software-like support for stable social welfare service production, we suggested to reduce indirectly social costs of possible production population, and for this, social agreement and political determination should be preceded. And in terms of housing supply, we need to move away from housing supply method of lotting-out-aim and translate to public rental housing policy-driven. If we utilize National Pension, etc., which support current financial markets for activation of rental supply, as rental housing funds. it would be plans for providing stable earning rates and at the same time, heightening rental policy. In this study, there are limits that issues derived from tax of government and company's production economics associated with the housing market, due to handling simple structure of population and housing. However, we can say it is significant meaning at the point of suggesting concealed problems in recent housing market and in the future research, we will need follow-up studies that considers government production economics.

참고문헌 (10)

  1. 김광주, "인구감소 시대의 도시관리 정책에 대한 동태적 분석", 한국시스템다이내믹스연구, 11(4), pp.77~96 (2010), 한국시스템다이내믹스학회
  2. 김태일, "주택수요계층화와 연령별 주거 사정 변화에 관한 기초연구", 제주대학교 산업 기술연구원 논문집, 11(2), pp.160~165 (2000)
  3. 문태훈, "도시동태모형을 이용한 도시성 장관리정책의 평가", pp.5~27 (2002), 한국시스템다이내믹스 연구
  4. 문태훈, "인구감소형 도시의 주택정책 개선방안 연구", 한국시스템다이내믹스연구, 12(2), pp.127~151 (2011), 한국시스템다이내믹스학회
  5. 선대인, "세금혁명" (2011), 더팩트
  6. 손낙구, "부동산 계급사회" (2008), 후마 니타스
  7. 시오자와 요시노리, "왜 복잡계 경제학 인가" (1999), 푸른길
  8. 윤영수, "복잡계 개론" (2005), 삼성 경제연구소
  9. 이정우, "위기의 부동산: 시장만능주의를 넘어서" (2009), 후마니타스
  10. 최막중, "가구특성에 따른 주거 입지 및 주택유형 수요에 관한 실증분석", 국토 계획, 36(6), pp.69~81 (2001)

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