북한 도발행태의 변화에 따른 도발의도 분석
A Study on the Transformation to the Provocation Intention of North Korea According to the Behavior of Provocation
1
조회
0
다운로드
5
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
North Korea is constantly conducting military provocations on the Korean peninsula. Before the 2000s, the provocation method used conventional tactics and the damage was local. But they are using nuclear and cyber-provoking methods to cause mass destruction or to cause widespread damage worldwide beyond the 2000s, especially since the beginning of the Kim Jung Un regime. I wonder why they are going fatal and global in the way of the provocation of the Kim Jung Un era than ever before. Accordingly, I studied the change of the provocation intentions in North Korea since the establishment of the regime by age, and an implied meaning on the extension line. Above all, the results of the analysis on the concept of provocation, the provocation includes the primary intention to create any circumstances to the enemy. Also it includes the secondary intention to take advantage of the enemy's actions for themselves. I have studied primary intentions and secondary intentions by time through applying this to North Korea. The primary intentional intentions showed the following changes: strengthen air force→paralyzed war will→cut off diplomatic relations→the apple of Sodom of NLL→the construction of a strong country. Also the secondary provocation intentions showed the following changes: interruption the recovery from war→diplomatic friction with allies→damaged legitimacy of the new military coup→the southern conflict→the consolidation of regime maintenance. In conclusion, the main provocations of the regime of Kim Jung Un are in the form of nuclear development and cyber terrorism. At this time the primary intention of provocation was analyzed as the construction of a strong country, and the secondary intention was analyzed as seeking to consolidate and maintain the regime. Korea needs to respond customarily to the provocation intentions of Kim Jung Un regime.
Abstract
North Korea is constantly conducting military provocations on the Korean peninsula. Before the 2000s, the provocation method used conventional tactics and the damage was local. But they are using nuclear and cyber-provoking methods to cause mass destruction or to cause widespread damage worldwide beyond the 2000s, especially since the beginning of the Kim Jung Un regime. I wonder why they are going fatal and global in the way of the provocation of the Kim Jung Un era than ever before. Accordingly, I studied the change of the provocation intentions in North Korea since the establishment of the regime by age, and an implied meaning on the extension line. Above all, the results of the analysis on the concept of provocation, the provocation includes the primary intention to create any circumstances to the enemy. Also it includes the secondary intention to take advantage of the enemy's actions for themselves. I have studied primary intentions and secondary intentions by time through applying this to North Korea. The primary intentional intentions showed the following changes: strengthen air force→paralyzed war will→cut off diplomatic relations→the apple of Sodom of NLL→the construction of a strong country. Also the secondary provocation intentions showed the following changes: interruption the recovery from war→diplomatic friction with allies→damaged legitimacy of the new military coup→the southern conflict→the consolidation of regime maintenance. In conclusion, the main provocations of the regime of Kim Jung Un are in the form of nuclear development and cyber terrorism. At this time the primary intention of provocation was analyzed as the construction of a strong country, and the secondary intention was analyzed as seeking to consolidate and maintain the regime. Korea needs to respond customarily to the provocation intentions of Kim Jung Un regime.
참고문헌 (49)
- 강진욱, "1983 버마" (2017), 박종철출판사
- 공군본부, "『공군』제3․4호 통권 제210호․211호", ~ (1989)
- 국방부, "국방백서 1999" (1999)
- 국방부, "2010 국방백서" (2010)
- 국방부, "2016 국방백서" (2016)
- 군사연구소, "對非正規戰史Ⅱ(1961～1980)" (1998), 국방부
- 군사편찬연구소, "對非正規戰史Ⅲ(1981～2000)" (2004), 국방부
- 김상배, "사이버 안보의 국가전략" (2017), 사회평론아카데미
- 김성걸, "전투기 100년 역사" (2009), 한국국방연구원
- 김종대, "시크릿 파일 서해전쟁" (2013), 메디치미디어
- 김종대, "유로파이터 타이푼" (2013), 디펜스21
- 김필재, "북한의 사이버 남침" (2014), 백년동안
- 내외통신, "북괴의 대남도발사" (1980), 사단법인 내외통신
- 대한민국 정부, "천안함 피격사건 백서" (2011)
- 라종일, "아웅산 테러리스트 강민철" (2013), 창비
- 박기덕, "‘북핵위기’에서 미국과 북한의 전략선택" (2011), 세종연구소
- 로버트 올리버, "이승만 없었다면 대한민국 없다" (2011), 동서문화사
- 신평길, "김정일과 대남 공작" (1996), 북한연구소
- 안동일, "10․26은 아직도 살아있다" (2005), 랜덤하우스
- 안원옥, "정치학대사전" (1975), 박영사
- 유용원, "북한군 시크릿 리포트" (2013), 플래닛미디어
- 육군교육사, "1.21사태로부터 강릉침투까지" (1998)
- 윤태영, "동북아 안보와 위기관리" (2005), 인간사랑
- 이기백, "아웅산 묘소의 증언" (1985), 합동참모본부
- 이명박, "대통령의 시간" (2015), 알에이치코리아
- 이중근, "6․25전쟁 1129일" (2014), 우정문고
- 이희승, "국어대사전" (2013), 민중서림
- 장세동, "일해재단" (1995), 한국논단
- 조영갑, "민군관계와 국가안보" (2009), 북코리아
- 최현수, "한반도에 사드를 끌어들인 북한 미사일" (2017), 경당
- 카를 폰 클라우제비츠, "전쟁론" (2012), 책세상
- 편집부, "황장엽 선생의 마지막 대화" (2011), 시대정신
- 권유중, "북한 사이버전력 평가와 대북 사이버대응체계 연구 : 민관 사이버 위협정보 공유를 중심으로", 석사, pp.2013
- 문병철, "제2차 북핵위기와 미국 패권의 능력 그리고 한계", 한국과 국제정치, 28(2), pp.29~52 (2012), 극동문제연구소[DOI]
- 문성욱, "북한의 지속적인 군사도발과 남북군사회담", 북한 (2015), 북한연구소
- 북한의 도발 환경 비교 분석, "문순보", 세종연구소, ~ (2012)
- 양해수, "북한군의 기습도발에 대한 한국군의 인식과 대응에 관한 연구", 박사, pp.2015
- 유효동, "시대별 북한의 국지도발 분석연구 : 오간스키의 세력전이 이론을 중심으로", 군사평론, (421) (2013), 합동군사대학교
- 이수형, "동맹의 안보 딜레마와 포기-연루의 순환", 국제정치논총, 30(1) (1999), 한국국제정치학회
- 이신재, "6ㆍ25전쟁기 북한공군의 성장과정 고찰", 군사, (89), pp.197~232 (2013), 국방부군사편찬연구소[DOI]
- 이윤규, "북한의 도발사례 분석", 군사, (91), pp.63~110 (2014), 국방부군사편찬연구소[DOI]
- 丁元述, "北韓外交政策의 變遷過程에 관한 연구 : 第3世界外交政策을 중심으로", 박사, 정치외교학, pp.1991
- 한승주, "북한의 오늘과 내일" (1982), 법문사
- Brandt, Richard B., "Utilitarianism and the Rules of Wa", Philosophy and Public Affairs, 1(1) (1971)
- Clarke, Richard A., "Cyber War" (2010), Harper Collins Publishers
- Fuller, J. F. C, "Armored Warfare" (1983), ABC-CLIO
- Nagel, Thomas, "War and Moral Responsibility" (1974), Princeton University Press
- Organski, A. F. Kenneth, "World politics" (1968), Alfred A. Knopf
- "Telegram From the Commander in Chief. United Nations Command and Commander of United States. Korea(Bonesteel) to the Commander in Chief, Pacific(Sharp)", ~ (1968)