북한 핵·장거리탄도미사일 능력 고도화에 따른 군사적 대응 방안 연구

Abstract

As the threat of North Korea's nuclear use is increasing with build up of North Korea's nuclear and long range ballistic missile capabilities, the United States declared that it can curb North Korea's nuclear use by showing their ability and will to project nuclear proliferation deterrence forces. However, if the deterrence fails and North Korea conducts a nuclear attack on South Korea, it may not be politically easy decision for the United States to take immediate retaliation. It is because the United States may get nuclear attack on its mainland from NK. Futhermore, the ROK military is now developing the korean-three axis system as a mean to deter North Korea's nuclear use. But it will take more than three years to complete at the earliest and needs a huge budget. And even if it is completed, I doubt that it will be possible to offset North Korea's nuclear capability by using the korean-three axis system with conventional weapon. The United States may also consider preventive attacks on North Korea as a extreme way. However, to do this, the United States and China need to cooperate in advance. Moreover, G2 have a risk that a war may break out. So, given the current situation, the ROK need a strategic game changer that will make North Korea give up its nuclear program. Even though our government is currently trying to solve the North Korea's nuclear issue under the direction of dialogue and pressure, on the other hand, it is necessary to prepare military option like tactical nuclear deployment or nuclear power against worst scenario. By doing so, the ROK can minimize the interference and influence from the surrounding superpowers, realize the self defense they desire, and become a truly strong nation which can decide their own destiny on this Korea peninsula.