The EU’s Coming Mid-Life Crisis: The EU’s Coming Mid-Life Crisis: Demographic Change and the Immigration Imperative
0
조회
0
다운로드
0
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
This article addresses the likely demographic stagnation that the European Union will experience over the next fifty years. First I present data projecting that the period 2010-2060 will see the EU population both stagnate and grow older. I particularly focus on the EU’s dramatic growth of its old-age dependency ratio and indicate the problems that this development implies for funding retirement and health care benefits across the EU. Finally, I argue that fiscal and social system restructuring alone cannot solve these problems, and that an intelligent program for increasing immigration into the EU will be necessary.
Abstract
This article addresses the likely demographic stagnation that the European Union will experience over the next fifty years. First I present data projecting that the period 2010-2060 will see the EU population both stagnate and grow older. I particularly focus on the EU’s dramatic growth of its old-age dependency ratio and indicate the problems that this development implies for funding retirement and health care benefits across the EU. Finally, I argue that fiscal and social system restructuring alone cannot solve these problems, and that an intelligent program for increasing immigration into the EU will be necessary.
참고문헌 (25)
- "EU’s Baby Blues"[URL]
- Camarota, S., "100 Million More: Projecting the Impact of Immigration on U.S. Population, 2007‐2060" (2007), Center for Immigration Studies
- Castles, S., "The Age of Migration: International Population Movements in the Modern World (4th ed.)" (2009), Palgrave‐ Macmillan
- Castles, S., "Citizenship and Migration: Globalization and the Politics of Belonging" (2000), Macmillan Press
- Chebel d’Appollonia, A., "Integration, and Security:America and Europe in Comparative Perspective" (2008), University of Pittsburgh Press
- "Conseil d’Orientation des Retraites: perspectives actualisées à moyen et long term en vue du rendez‐vous de 2010"[URL]
- "European Commission: EU Launches Public Debate on the Future of Pensions"[URL]
- "Green Paper: towards adequate, sustainable and safe European pension systems"[URL]
- "Eurostat Fertility Rate"[URL]
- "Eurostat Labour Force Survey"[URL]
- "Eurostat Life Expectancy"[URL]
- "Eurostat Old‐Age Dependency Ratio Projections"[URL]
- "Eurostat Population Projections"[URL]
- "Eurostat Population Projections―Statistics Explained"[URL]
- Ferguson, N., "The Degeneration of EMU", pp.110~121 (2000), Foreign Affairs
- Hoekman, B., "The Euro‐Mediterranean Partnership: Trade in Services as an Alternative to Migration", Journal of Common Market Studies, 48(4), pp.835~857 (2010)
- "Population et Sociétés: La fécondité des immigrées: nouvelles données, nouvelle approche"[URL]
- Laroque, G., "Does Fertility Respond to Financial Incentives", CESifo Working Papers 2008, pp.1~49 (2008)
- Massey, D., "Worlds in Motion: Understanding International Migration at the End of the Millenium" (2008), Oxford University Press
- McDonald, P, "Sustaining Fertility Through Public Policy: The Range of Options", Population, 57(3), pp.2~69 (2009)
- Piñera, José, "Will the Pension Time Bomb Sink the Euro", Cato Journal, 24(1), pp.46~47 (2004)
