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Moon Jae-in Government’s Management Strategy for the South Korea-China Relations: Focused on the Nation’s Measures for Early Resolution of the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) Issues

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The recent security landscape of Northeast Asia surrounding the North Korean issues has been swerving to a great degree. The continuing North Korean nuclear and missile tests are heightening the security crisis on the Korean Peninsula, and the conflict has been amplified among the three nations, South Korea, the U.S., and Japan, which need to cooperate with one another in solving the North Korean problem. Launched in May, the Moon Jae-in government faces a crucial task of overcoming the THAAD issue, the center of the current conflict among the three countries, and making up the aggravated South Korea-China relations to become a constructive cooperative one. This paper reviews the public policy pursued by the Moon Jae-in government since its inauguration, in particular, the limitations of the THAAD diplomacy to propose a complementary plan for them. The paper proceeds with the aim of suggesting the managing direction of South Korea-China relations in the mid- to long-term aspects. In order to overcome the THAAD issue early, this paper focuses on three categories: 1. selecting prudent diplomatic strategy cards; 2. resolving strategic ambiguities and establishing a three-way dialogue channel among South Korea, the U.S., and China; and 3. establishing a sophisticated foreign strategy to raise situational responsiveness. In an attempt to improve the Seoul- Beijing relations, it is necessary to concert the THAAD issue in a stable manner, and then multilateral efforts to build constructive and sustainable relations with China should be made through the medium of: 1. diplomacy of saving the face of China; 2. diplomacy by dispatching special envoys; and 3. diplomacy of cultural and social human exchange.

Abstract

The recent security landscape of Northeast Asia surrounding the North Korean issues has been swerving to a great degree. The continuing North Korean nuclear and missile tests are heightening the security crisis on the Korean Peninsula, and the conflict has been amplified among the three nations, South Korea, the U.S., and Japan, which need to cooperate with one another in solving the North Korean problem. Launched in May, the Moon Jae-in government faces a crucial task of overcoming the THAAD issue, the center of the current conflict among the three countries, and making up the aggravated South Korea-China relations to become a constructive cooperative one. This paper reviews the public policy pursued by the Moon Jae-in government since its inauguration, in particular, the limitations of the THAAD diplomacy to propose a complementary plan for them. The paper proceeds with the aim of suggesting the managing direction of South Korea-China relations in the mid- to long-term aspects. In order to overcome the THAAD issue early, this paper focuses on three categories: 1. selecting prudent diplomatic strategy cards; 2. resolving strategic ambiguities and establishing a three-way dialogue channel among South Korea, the U.S., and China; and 3. establishing a sophisticated foreign strategy to raise situational responsiveness. In an attempt to improve the Seoul- Beijing relations, it is necessary to concert the THAAD issue in a stable manner, and then multilateral efforts to build constructive and sustainable relations with China should be made through the medium of: 1. diplomacy of saving the face of China; 2. diplomacy by dispatching special envoys; and 3. diplomacy of cultural and social human exchange.

참고문헌 (27)

  1. Blanchard, Ben, "Duterte aligns Philippines with China, says U.S. has lost", Reuters, ~ (2016)
  2. Chosun.com, "China Cornered Lee Hae-chan to withdraw THAAD", ~ (2017)
  3. Chosun.com, "Wang Yi said the THAAD Deployment Poured Cold Water over South Korea-China Relations, Kang Kyung-hwa said it was a Defensive Decision to Deal with the North’s Provocation", ~ (2017)
  4. Chosun.com, "Chinese Retaliation over the THAAD is to Draw the Linchpin of the South Korea-America Alliance Out", ~ (2017)
  5. Global Times, "‘THADD’ in South Korea, ‘Wood has become a boat,’ China Can Counter All Aspects of the system", ~ (2017)
  6. Global Times, "Moon Faces Challenges in Finding New Solutions to N.K. Nuclear Issue", ~ (2017)
  7. Global Times, "THAAD Deployment Causes Grave Damage to China-S. Korea Relations Expert", ~ (2017)
  8. Assessment of the Recent Economic Losses of South Korea and China and Measures to Respond, "Han, Jae-jin", Hyundai Economic Research Institute, 7~8, pp.Issues and Tasks. No. 17-10 (2017)
  9. JTBC, "Any Acts of Damaging Our Sovereignty Will Suffer from the Taste of Bitterness, Xi Jin-ping Warns; Tensions Heightened in the U.S.-Chinese Relations", ~ (2017)
  10. Korea Times, "Xi Jin-ping Separately Met with National Assembly Member Park Byung-suk", ~ (2017)
  11. Importance of South Korea-China Economic Relations and Future Directions, "Lee, Bu-Hyeong", Hyundai Economic Research Institute, 2~, pp.Issues and Tasks. No. 16-8 (2016)
  12. Lee, Seong-hyeon, "Envoy, THAAD, and Korea-China Relations under Moon Jae-in", PacNet, ~ (2017)
  13. "China Sees President Moon Jae-in Who Can Do ‘No’ to the United States is Fortunate for China" (2017)[URL]
  14. Park, Sungtae, "How China Sees THAAD", PacNet, ~ (2016)
  15. Taylor, Guy, "'Separation’ Talk Perplexes U.S. Officials as Philippines Court China, Russia", Washington Times, ~ (2016)
  16. The JoongAng Ilbo, "Former Defense Minister Perry Said THAAD Should Be Withdrawn if South Korea Does Not Want It", ~ (2017)
  17. The JoongAng Ilbo, "The Full Text of the Talks with the U.S. President Trump, Hong Seok-hyun, Special Envoy to the United States", ~ (2017)
  18. The JoongAng Ilbo, "United States-Japan-India Had a United Maritime Training in the Bay of Bengal", ~ (2017)
  19. "The Statista website"[URL]
  20. Yonhap News Agency, "If South Korea Does Not Want THAAD, Tell President Moon That We Can Use it in Different Budget", ~ (2017)
  21. Yonhap News Agency, "Warship Conflict, the U.S., Japan, and India Had Combined Training near Senkaku", ~ (2016)
  22. Yonhap News Agency, "Chu Guo Hong Said South Korea-China Relations Could Be Destroyed in an Instant Over THAAD", ~ (2016)
  23. Yonhap News Agency, "The Final Placement of the THAAD in the Year is Difficult ... It Depends on the Period of an Environmental Evaluation", ~ (2017)
  24. Yonhap News Agency, "White House Said, THAAD is Not the Agenda of the South Korea-U.S. Summit, Discussion on Trade Imbalance Is", ~ (2017)
  25. Yonhap News Agency, "Seventy-One Percent of People for the THAAD Provisional Deployment, the Opposite is 18.4 Percent", ~ (2017)
  26. Yonhap News Agency, "New China News Agency Pointed Out That the Moon Jae-in Government is Indecisive About THAAD", ~ (2017)
  27. Yonhap News Agency, "Moon said South Korea and China Yet to Resolve the THAAD Issue", ~ (2017)

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