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Evolution of the ‘Limited Nuclear Use’ Strategy: Implications for North Korea and the ROK-US Alliance

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통일학연구원 (Ewha Institute of Unification Studies)|2024.08|Journal of Peace and Unification|제14권 제3호|pp. 73-102|DOI 10.31780/jpu.2024.14.3.73

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키워드

ROK-US AllianceLimited Nuclear UseNorth Korea’s Nuclear Strategy

초록

This study examined the evolution of the concept of ‘Limited Nuclear Use (LNU)’ and presents its implications for North Korea and the ROK-US Alliance. During the Cold War, LNU was considered a core element within the broader framework of ‘Limited Nuclear War (LNW). However, since the post-Cold War era, LNU has evolved into a distinct strategic domain. This evolution signifies a shift in nuclear strategy, emphasizing the controlled and measured use of nuclear weapons to achieve strategic objectives without escalating to an all-out nuclear conflict. This approach necessitates a nuanced understanding of nuclear strategy, incorporating elements of deterrence, escalation control, and limited nuclear use scenarios. If nuclear weapons were to be used again, North Korea would be the most likely candidate. The ROK-US alliance must focus on preparing specific countermeasures in the context of a complex and delicate ‘gray zone war’ instigated by North Korea’s hypothetical limited use of nuclear weapons.

Abstract

This study examined the evolution of the concept of ‘Limited Nuclear Use (LNU)’ and presents its implications for North Korea and the ROK-US Alliance. During the Cold War, LNU was considered a core element within the broader framework of ‘Limited Nuclear War (LNW). However, since the post-Cold War era, LNU has evolved into a distinct strategic domain. This evolution signifies a shift in nuclear strategy, emphasizing the controlled and measured use of nuclear weapons to achieve strategic objectives without escalating to an all-out nuclear conflict. This approach necessitates a nuanced understanding of nuclear strategy, incorporating elements of deterrence, escalation control, and limited nuclear use scenarios. If nuclear weapons were to be used again, North Korea would be the most likely candidate. The ROK-US alliance must focus on preparing specific countermeasures in the context of a complex and delicate ‘gray zone war’ instigated by North Korea’s hypothetical limited use of nuclear weapons.

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