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Climate Change and the World Food Production: An Empirical Analysis using a Panel Data

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In this study, we examine the relationship between climate change and food productivity using empirical econometric methods. The existing literature shows that natural hazard caused by climate change has a negative impact on food productivity since the natural disaster devastates farmers and food supply. The conventional study however considered only the correlation between food productivity change and climate condition such as optimum air temperature rather than the association between food productivity and climate change. Agricultural area, crop per unit area and crop productivity are known as the most important factors in food productivity. Thus, we explore the relationship between the three factors and climate change. We analyze the carbon dioxide concentration level in the atmosphere as a proxy for the climate change since the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere affects global temperature. We found that agricultural area, crop per unit area and crop productivity are negatively associated with climate change.

Abstract

In this study, we examine the relationship between climate change and food productivity using empirical econometric methods. The existing literature shows that natural hazard caused by climate change has a negative impact on food productivity since the natural disaster devastates farmers and food supply. The conventional study however considered only the correlation between food productivity change and climate condition such as optimum air temperature rather than the association between food productivity and climate change. Agricultural area, crop per unit area and crop productivity are known as the most important factors in food productivity. Thus, we explore the relationship between the three factors and climate change. We analyze the carbon dioxide concentration level in the atmosphere as a proxy for the climate change since the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere affects global temperature. We found that agricultural area, crop per unit area and crop productivity are negatively associated with climate change.

참고문헌 (10)

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  3. Cornia, G. A., "Farm Size, Land Yields and the Agricultural Production Function: An Analysis for Fifteen Developing Countries", World Development, 13(4), pp.513~534 (1985)
  4. Analyzing the determinants of farmers’ choice of adaptation measures and perceptions of climate change in the Nile Basin of Ethiopia, "Deressa, T.", IFPRI, ~, pp.International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) Discussion Paper No. 00798 (2008)
  5. Reflections on the Global Food Crisis: How Did It Happen? How Has It Hurt? And How Can We Prevent the Next One?, Research Monographs, "Headey, D.", International Food Policy Research Institute, 165~ (2008)
  6. Kawagoe, T., "The Intercountry Agricultural Production Function and Productivity Differences among Countries", Journal of Development Economics, 19(1), pp.113~132 (1985)
  7. Climate change 2001: Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability, Contribution of Working Group II to the third assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, "McCarthy, J.", Cambridge University Press, ~ (2001)
  8. Parry, M., "Effects of climate change on global food production under SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios", Global Environmental Change, 14(1), pp.53~67 (2004)
  9. Stern, N., "The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review" (2007), Cambridge University Press
  10. Global agricultural supply and demand: Factors contributing to the recent increase in food commodity prices, "Trostle, R.", United States Department of Agriculture, ~, pp.Economic Research Service, WRS-0801 (2008)

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