사교육비 추이 및 추세 분석: 통계청 가계동향조사를 중심으로

Abstract

This study utilizes the results of Statistics Korea's "Household Survey" Data, which surveys the changes in Korean private education expenses from 1990 to 2010 and forecasts the amount of private education expenses for the next five years, from 2011 to 2015. As a result of the analysis, it was found that nominal regular education expenses have increased annually by an average of 5.8%, and actual regular education expenses have decreased annually by an average of 0.3%. On the other hand, nominal private education expenses and actual private education expenses have both increased by an average of 12.5% and 5.5%, respectively. In other words, we can see that, while the burden for regular education expenses has not increased substantially, the burden for private education expenses has steadily increased. With regard to the changes based on income levels, the gap between regular education expenses among income levels has increased, though in comparison to the ordinary income, regular education expenses have decreased for the ordinary income level. However, private education expenses at all income levels have gradually increased, as has the gap between income levels. Specifically, the household burden for private education has dramatically increased for middle‐ and upper income levels. The forecast for private education expenditure for the next five years shows that nominal private education expenses are expected to increase by an average of 0.6% per quarter for the next five years, while actual private education expenses will decrease by an average of 0.3% per quarter. In other words, the amount of private education expenses for the next five years will increase at a relatively decreased rate, and thus the actual household burden for private education will decrease slightly.