농업재해 예측을 위한 신 기후변화 시나리오의 농업기상자료 구축 - 111개 농업주요지점을 대상으로 -
Construction of Agricultural Meteorological Data by the New Climate Change Scenario for Forecasting Agricultural Disaster - For 111 Agriculture Major Station -
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초록
For analysis of climate change effects on agriculture, precise agricultural meteorological data are needed to target period and site. In this study, agricultural meteorological data under new climate change scenario (RCP 8.5) are constructed from 2011 to 2099 in111 agriculture major station suggested by Rural Development Administration (RDA). For verifying constructed data, comparison withfield survey data in Suwon shows same trend in maximum temperature, minimum temperature, average temperature, and precipitationin 2011. Also comparison with normals of daily data in 2025, 2055, and 2085 shows reliability of constructed data. In analysis ofconstructed data, we can calculate sum of days over temperature and under temperature. Results effectively show the change of averagetemperature in each region and odd days of precipitation which means flood and dry days in target region.
Abstract
For analysis of climate change effects on agriculture, precise agricultural meteorological data are needed to target period and site. In this study, agricultural meteorological data under new climate change scenario (RCP 8.5) are constructed from 2011 to 2099 in111 agriculture major station suggested by Rural Development Administration (RDA). For verifying constructed data, comparison withfield survey data in Suwon shows same trend in maximum temperature, minimum temperature, average temperature, and precipitationin 2011. Also comparison with normals of daily data in 2025, 2055, and 2085 shows reliability of constructed data. In analysis ofconstructed data, we can calculate sum of days over temperature and under temperature. Results effectively show the change of averagetemperature in each region and odd days of precipitation which means flood and dry days in target region.
참고문헌 (24)
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