토지이용 및 기후 예측자료를 활용한 미래 기저유출 분석
Analysis of Baseflow using Future Land Use and Climate Change Scenario
2
조회
0
다운로드
2
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
Since the baseflow, which constitutes most of the river flow in the dry season, plays an important role in the solution of river runoff and drought,it is important to accurately evaluate the characteristics of the baseflow for river management. In this study, land use change was evaluated throughtime series data of land use, and then baseflow characteristics were analyzed by considering climate change and land use change using climate changescenarios. The results showed that the contribution of baseflow of scenarios considering both climate change and land use change was lower than thatof scenarios considering only climate change for yearly and seasonal analysis. This implies that land use changes as well as climate changes affectbase runoff. Thus, if we study the watershed in which the land use is occurring rapidly in the future, it is considered that the study should be carriedout considering both land use change and climate change. The results of this study can be used as basic data for studying the baseflow characteristicsin the Gapcheon watershed considering various land use changes and climate change in the future.
Abstract
Since the baseflow, which constitutes most of the river flow in the dry season, plays an important role in the solution of river runoff and drought,it is important to accurately evaluate the characteristics of the baseflow for river management. In this study, land use change was evaluated throughtime series data of land use, and then baseflow characteristics were analyzed by considering climate change and land use change using climate changescenarios. The results showed that the contribution of baseflow of scenarios considering both climate change and land use change was lower than thatof scenarios considering only climate change for yearly and seasonal analysis. This implies that land use changes as well as climate changes affectbase runoff. Thus, if we study the watershed in which the land use is occurring rapidly in the future, it is considered that the study should be carriedout considering both land use change and climate change. The results of this study can be used as basic data for studying the baseflow characteristicsin the Gapcheon watershed considering various land use changes and climate change in the future.
참고문헌 (46)
- Karim C. Abbaspour, "Modelling hydrology and water quality in the pre-alpine", alpine Thur watershed using SWAT, 2007, pp.333(2-4), 413~430[DOI]
- Ahn, J. H., "On the change of hydrologic conditions due to global Warming :2. an analysis of hydrolorgic changes in Daechung Dam basin using water balance model", Journal of Korea Water Resources Association, 34(5), pp.511~519 (2001)[DOI]
- 안소라, "기후변화와 토지이용 변화가 도시화 진행 유역수문에 미치는 영향 평가", 대한토목학회논문집(국문), 35(3), pp.567~577 (2015), 대한토목학회
- 안소라, "미래토지이용 및 기후변화에 따른 하천유역의 유출특성 분석", 대한토목학회 논문집B, 28(2B), pp.215~224 (2008), 대한토목학회
- 안소라, "SWAT 모형을 이용한 미래 기후변화가 설마천 혼효림 유역의 증발산과 토양수분에 미치는 영향 평가", 한국수자원학회 논문집, 46(6), pp.569~583 (2013), 한국수자원학회
- Arnold, J. G., "Spatial scale variability in model development and parameterization", Ph.D., pp.1992
- Arnold, J. G., "Large area hydrologic modeling and assessment : part I : model development", Journal of American Water Resources Association, 34(1), pp.73~89 (1998)
- Cho, S. H., "Computation of baseflow contribution to streamflow using environmental tracers in three small catchments Yuseong, Daejeon", Ph.D., pp.2006
- 조재필, "SWAT모형과 CMIP5 자료를 이용한 기후변화에 따른 농업용 저수지 기후변화 영향 평가", 한국농공학회논문집, 57(5), pp.1~12 (2015), 한국농공학회
- 최대규, "CGCM 미래기후정보를 이용한 기후변화가 병성천 유역 수문 및 수질반응에 미치는 영향분석", 한국수자원학회 논문집, 42(11), pp.921~931 (2009), 한국수자원학회
- 최의수, "56년간 한반도 강수 및 풍속의 극값 변화", 대기, 18(4), pp.397~416 (2008), 한국기상학회
- 최순군, "불확실성을 고려한 논벼 증발산량 기후변화 영향 평가", 한국기후변화학회지, 9(2), pp.143~156 (2018), 한국기후변화학회[DOI]
- 정유란, "상세화된 CMIP5 기후변화전망의 다중모델앙상블 접근에 의한 농업기후지수 평가", 한국농림기상학회지, 17(2), pp.108~125 (2015), 한국농림기상학회[DOI]
- Eckhardt, K., "How to construct recursive digital filters for baseflow separation", Hydrological Processes, 19(2), pp.507~515 (2005)
- Fleiss, J. L., "Statistical methods for rates and proportions" (1981), Wiley
- Gregory, J. M., "Summer drought in northern midlatitudes in a time-dependent CO2 climate experiment", Journal of Climate, 10(4), pp.662~686 (1997)
- Gudmundsson, L., "Technical note: downscaling RCM precipitation to the station scale using quantile mapping-a comparison of methods", Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, 9, pp.6185~6201 (2012)
- Hagen, A., "Multi-method assessment of map similarity", Proceedings of the fifth AGILE conference on geographic information science, pp.171~182 (2002)
- 한정호, "기후변화에 따른 미래 극한호우사상이 소양강댐 유역의 유량 및 유사량에 미치는 영향", 한국물환경학회지, 33(2), pp.160~169 (2017), 한국물환경학회
- 한정호, "소유역 별 기저유출 감수상수를 적용한 유량 및 기저유출 모의", 한국농공학회논문집, 59(6), pp.101~108 (2017), 한국농공학회[DOI]
- 홍지영, "한강수계의 하천에 대한 직접유출과 기저유출의 기여도 정량화", 한국수자원학회 논문집, 48(4), pp.309~319 (2015), 한국수자원학회
- Analysis of CMIP5 data in the water resources considering uncertainty, "Jo, J. P.", Korea Water Resources Association, ~ (2013)
- Joo, S. W., "Estimation of BFImax value for accurate Baseflow separation using WHAT system", Journal of Agricultural, Life and Envirionmental Sciences, 18, pp.155~162 (2007)[DOI]
- 정영훈, "수문곡선의 감수부 특성을 고려한 기저유출 산정", 한국습지학회지, 16(2), pp.161~171 (2014), 한국습지학회
- Basic study on functional forestation business in Daejeon, "Jung, H. D.", ~ (2011)
- 김병식, "기후변화가 용담댐 유역의 유출에 미치는 영향", 한국수자원학회 논문집, 37(3), pp.185~193 (2004), 한국수자원학회
- 구교숙, "최고, 최저기온을 이용한 우리나라 기온변화에서의 도시화효과 분석", 대기, 17(2), pp.185~193 (2007), 한국기상학회
- 금동혁, "기후변화 시나리오 편의보정 기법에 따른 강우 - 유출 특성 분석", 한국물환경학회지, 31(3), pp.241~252 (2015), 한국물환경학회
- 이지민, "미래 기후변화에 따른 급경사지 유역에서의 지하수 함양, 기저유출 및토양유실 평가", 한국습지학회지, 16(2), pp.173~185 (2014), 한국습지학회
- 이지민, "토지이용변화에 따른 미계측 유역의 기저유출량 산정 및 평가", 한국습지학회지, 16(4), pp.303~318 (2014), 한국습지학회
- 이준우, "WMS HEC-1 모형을 이용한 경안천 유역의 경년 수문변화 분석", 한국지리정보학회지, 6(1), pp.107~118 (2003), 한국지리정보학회
- Lim, K. J., "Automated web GIS based hydrograph analysis tool, WHAT", Journal of American Water Resources Association, 41(6), pp.1407~1416 (2005)[DOI]
- Lyne, V. D., "Stochastic time-variable rainfall-runoff modeling", Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium, pp.89~93 (1979), National Committee on Hydrology and Water Resources of the Institute of Engineering
- 남경훈, "건기 및 우기 때의 WHAT system과 유량측정에 의한 기저유출량 비교", 지질공학, 23(2), pp.117~125 (2013), 대한지질공학회
- Soil and Water Assessment Tool Theoretical Documentation Version 2005, "Neitsch, S. L.", USDA, ARS, ~ (2005)
- Neitsch, S. L., "Soil and Water Assessment Tool User’s Manual Version 2005", USDA, ARS, ~ (2005)
- Park, J. Y., "Assessment of MIROC3.2 HiRes climate and CLUE-s land use change impacts on watershed hydrology using SWAT", Transactions of the ASABE, 54(5), pp.1713~1724 (2011)
- 박경신, "기후변화 및 도시화를 고려한 수자원관리 대안의 효과 분석", 한국수자원학회 논문집, 42(12), pp.1103~1111 (2009), 한국수자원학회
- 박민지, "HSPF 모형을 이용한 토지피복변화에 따른 유출 변화 분석", 한국수자원학회 논문집, 38(6), pp.495~504 (2005), 한국수자원학회
- 류지철, "소양강댐 유역의 유출 자동보정을 위한 SWAT-CUP의 적용 및 평가", 한국물환경학회지, 28(3), pp.347~358 (2012), 한국물환경학회[DOI]
- 류지철, "오염총량관리제의 시공간적 미래 토지이용 변화분석을 위한 CLUE-S 모델의 적용 및 평가", 한국물환경학회지, 30(4), pp.418~428 (2014), 한국물환경학회
- 신민환, "대청호 상류 유역의 비점오염원 유출특성 분석 및 L-THIA 모형 적용성 평가", 한국농공학회논문집, 52(1), pp.1~11 (2010), 한국농공학회
- Verburg, P. H., "Modeling the spatial dynamics of regional land use: the CLUE-S model", Environmental management, 30(3), pp.391~405 (2002)
- W. Me, "Effects of hydrologic conditions on SWAT model performance and parameter sensitivity for a small, mixed land use catchment in New Zealand", Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 19(10), pp.4127~4147 (2015), Copernicus GmbH[DOI]
- Wetherald, R. T., "The mechanisms of summer dryness induced by greenhouse warming", Journal of Climate, 8(12), pp.3096~3108 (1995)
- Simulation of runoff and water quality for 1990 and 2008 land-use conditions in the Reedy Creek watershed, "Wicklein, S. M.", ~, pp.East-Central Florida U.S. Geological Survey Water-Resources Investigations Report 02-4018 (2008)
