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운송시스템의 리스크 분석방법에 관한 연구

A Study on the Risk Analysis Method on the Transport System

김환성|김은지
한국항해항만학회|2016.06|한국항해항만학회지 (Journal of Korean Navigation and Port Reserch)|제40권 제3호|pp. 147-157|DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.5394/KINPR.2016.40.3.147

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참고문헌

키워드

Risk analysisRisk index리스크 분석리스크 지수물류 신뢰성운송시스템 리스크 인자중량화물운송시스템Logistics reliabilityRisk factor on transport systemHeavy vehicle transport system
주제분류해상운송학

초록

시장의 세계화와 정보통신의 발전에 의해 물류 네트워크가 장기, 복잡화되어 지며, 네트워크 내에서 발생하는 리스크에 대응할 수 있는 시스템 능력이 감퇴했다. 이러한 리스크의 발생에 의해 물류시스템의 신뢰성이 저하되어, 리스크 관리의 필요성이 함께 증가하였다. 본 연구에서는 운송시스템 상에서 발생할 수 있는 리스크를 정의하고, 운송시스템의 신뢰성과 리스크 간의 관계를 규명하였다. 또한 운송시스템의 리스크 인자를 도출하여, 운송시스템의 리스크를 수리적으로 평가하는 분석 방법론을 제안하였다. 리스크 인자의 값을 산정하기 위해 발생지수와 영향지수를 이용하였다. 본 연구에서 제안한 분석방법론을 대형화물자동차 운송시스템에 적용하여 사례연구를 실시하였고, 적용된 운송시스템에 대한 리스크 지수를 최종적으로 도출하였다. 본 연구결과로서 운송시스템에 대한 리스크를 수치화하여 분석 할 수 있음을 보였으며, 향후 본 연구 결과가 운송시스템의 리스크 관리와 리스크 회피전략 도출을 위한 기초연구자료로 활용될 것으로 판단된다.

Abstract

The trend of globalization and the development of the communication-Information technology have led the organization of a complex supply chains which are more vulnerable to risks. The impact of risk on the supply chain can be adverse so importance of risk management on a supply chain has increased. In order to analyze the risk factors of transport system, this study described about the definition of transport risk and investigated the relationship between likelihood index and effect index of each risk factor. We identified risk factors on transport system and measured likelihood index and effect index of each risk factor. Finally, a numerical risk index, which is a value of total transport system, has been resulted by aggregating all indices. In addition, a case study using the proposed method has done on a heavy vehicle transport context with a transport company.

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