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북한의 핵능력 증대 전망과 대책

Prospect of and Countermeasures to the Increment in North Korea’s Nuclear Threats

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North Korean nuclear issue, which has been stalled since the end of last year due to the delay of its nuclear declaration by North Korea, is expected to enter the new phase of nuclear verification, because it completed its nuclear declaration this June. At present, however, North Korea’s intention is doubtful. The scrutiny of the latest situations implies that the pattern of North Korea’s nuclear threats is expected to be getting changed. In this paper, hence, the possibility for North Korea to abandon its nuclear weapons program is assessed if the positive approach, based on the ‘action-to-action’ principle, is kept to be applied as a solving measure to North Korean nuclear issue and the necessity to change the approach is reviewed. Based on the projection of the change in North Korea’s nuclear threats and the diagnosis of our government’s approach to North Korean nuclear issue, the policy suggestions to be applied for solving the North Korean nuclear issue are derived.

Abstract

North Korean nuclear issue, which has been stalled since the end of last year due to the delay of its nuclear declaration by North Korea, is expected to enter the new phase of nuclear verification, because it completed its nuclear declaration this June. At present, however, North Korea’s intention is doubtful. The scrutiny of the latest situations implies that the pattern of North Korea’s nuclear threats is expected to be getting changed. In this paper, hence, the possibility for North Korea to abandon its nuclear weapons program is assessed if the positive approach, based on the ‘action-to-action’ principle, is kept to be applied as a solving measure to North Korean nuclear issue and the necessity to change the approach is reviewed. Based on the projection of the change in North Korea’s nuclear threats and the diagnosis of our government’s approach to North Korean nuclear issue, the policy suggestions to be applied for solving the North Korean nuclear issue are derived.

참고문헌 (5)

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  2. 문주현, "북핵 검증 준비,제대로 돼가나", 조선일보, ~ (2008)
  3. 손원제, "플루토늄 37kg이냐,60kg이냐", 한겨레 인터넷판, ~ (2008)
  4. 이종헌, "북한 핵문제의 경제학적 고찰", 국방정책연구, (78) (2008)
  5. "www.armscontrolwonk.com", 709, pp.2008, ~

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