군사력 균형 평가도구로서 ‘총괄평가(Net Assessment)’: 개념, 절차, 방법론
Net Assessement as a Analytical Framework for Military Balance: Concepts, Process, and Methodology
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본 연구는 국내 연구에서 소홀히 다루어져 왔던 총괄평가의 개념과 적용사례(미국방부 총괄평가국, ONA)를 설명하고, 총괄평가의 원칙과 방법론을 규명하는 데 목적을 둔다. 이를 위해 본 논문은 미국 총괄평가국을 선도했던 탁월한 전략가들의 논문들과 이후에 출간된 평가자료들을 바탕으로 총괄평가가 사용하는 분석기법과 분석기술을 분석한다. 무엇보다 본 연구는 비밀 해제된 냉전기의 미소 군사력 균형 평가보고서를 사례로 하여 총괄평가의 구체적인 관점과 방법론, 절차를 분석하고, 이후 학자들이 제시했던 분석모형들을 유형별로 제시하였다. 이로써 본 연구는 총괄평가가 지향하는 군사력 균형 평가의 방법론을 시론적 수준에서 제시하고, 그것이 국방분석에 무엇을 의미하는지 제시할 것이다.
Abstract
The purpose of this study is to provide informations regarding a definition, role, and methodology of the Net Assessment. Despite numerous quotations from academia and the policy community, and being widely known, little is known about the detailed methodology and content of the Net Assessment. Moreover, domestic academic research on it is not active yet. Not only has the methodology been studied, but the origin and development of the ONA(Office of Net Assessment) of US DoD has not been well introduced. Given that the Net Assessment is an analysis tool that has been used to analyze the long-term U.S. military Competition in the Cold War, we seem to need research at an academic and policy level as a tool to assess the military balance in the competition facing Korea. In this backdrop, the study analyzes the concepts and skills and historical application cases, and analyzes the key elements and principles of the Net Assessment.
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