공공임대주택의 생애주기에 따른 주거공간 수요와 공급의 불일치에 관한 연구

Abstract

Long-term residency in public rental housing is linked to inefficiencies driven by limited social resources, a low birth rate, and a rapidly aging population, which cause an imbalance of supply and demand between the parenting generation and the middle-to-old generations. The parenting generation needs larger housing during their children's education, whereas the middle-to-old generations need only one- to two-person housing after their children leave home. Although prior studies have identified such problems, few empirical analyses using large-scale public data exist. Therefore, this study uses data from the SH Panel survey and the Housing Condition survey for analysis. First, according to the SH Panel survey, the per-capita occupied area of housing space, per life cycle stage, for public rent in Seoul is severely unbalanced. Second, the per-capita area of private rent is not related to the stage of the life cycle. Public rental housing, however, shows a significant difference in rented per-capita area by life cycle stage, accompanied by less resilient housing expenditure. This trend is related to long-term residency because it has been observed specifically in those of the middle-to-old generations who live alone. Third, public institutions need to increase the supply of rental housing to reflect life cycles, particularly in terms of public housing for low-income elderly households that require fixed longterm residence.