북한 핵보유 요인에 관한 역사 - 구조적 접근

Abstract

North Korea blame their nuclear development on U.S. hostility toward them. However, North Korean nuclear problem is the result of historical structure which has been fused with complex factors such as “Suryong” system(Supreme leader system), the division system, and the world system. Therefore resolving North Korean nuclear issue is not simple nor easy. The reason for the North Korea’s nuclear capability is deeply related with the keeping the Suryong system by the hereditary succession of three generation and the foreign variables-hostile relation between U.S. and North Korea, North and South Korea’s division system, the fall of socialist states, war on terrorism and the collapse of dictatorship. Since the fall of the Soviet Union, North Korea has recognized the international situation as them against U.S., the hegemony, and that seemed to lead them to accelerate on developing nuclear weapon. As China and Russia have joined the UN security council’s sanction on their nuclear development, Kim Jong-un’s regime started to focus on the developing of nuclear weapon on the base of nuclear-economic development after recognizing the structure of global politics. North and South Korea’s divided system based on different ideologies and systems are enough to motivate two countries to the nuclear development; this motivation will increase as gap of national power between two Koreas widens and possibility of absorbtion unification rises. Especially, North Korea’s nuclear ambitions will strengthen as ‘early unification theory’ that has rapid change of North Korea is in mind.