What Differentiates Kim Jong-Il from Gaddafi : Problems of Nuclear Development Factor Analysis Methods and Proposal of Alternatives
0
조회
0
다운로드
0
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
The focus of this study is the motivation for North Koreas nuclear development under Kim Jong-il. This study compares his program with that of the Libyan leader Moammar Gaddafi. North Koreas strategy focused on the means to deliver a warhead to targets in the U.S. and to Americas Northeast Asian allies, Japan and South Korea. This study attempts to verify the rationale for North Koreas nuclear development while stressing the importance of the countrys approach. Using qualitative comparative analysis, this paper explains North Korean nuclear development by listing variables, including the capacity to make good on its dreams and the motivation to succeed, comparing the behavior of the Libyan and the North Korean regimes and the Libyan program with that of North Korea. Factors range from the need of the Kim family to survive against domestic opposition to the Norths complexes surrounded by hostile powers. It also considers the collapse of Communist rule in the East Bloc and failed efforts at reaching agreement on the Norths nuclear program. The article accomplishes this goal by outlining the defensive versus offensive purposes of North Korea's nuclear program in terms of the inspiration for reunification of the Korean peninsula, comparing that motivation with the need of Gaddafi to unite his people behind his leadership. Suggesting a new set of factors for proliferation, the paper makes clear the implications of North Korea's nuclear policy for the future not only of North Korea but for both North and South Korea, the entire Korean peninsula. During the presidency of Moon Jae-in, there was a widespread perception that the Ministry of Patriots and Veterans Affairs should treat those who contributed to the establishment of the North Korean regime as subjects of national merit. The Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK), however, has always been motivated by the dream of establishing its own revisionist system. Thus, it is more important than ever to analyze the nature of the North Korean regime and its nuclear programs
Abstract
The focus of this study is the motivation for North Koreas nuclear development under Kim Jong-il. This study compares his program with that of the Libyan leader Moammar Gaddafi. North Koreas strategy focused on the means to deliver a warhead to targets in the U.S. and to Americas Northeast Asian allies, Japan and South Korea. This study attempts to verify the rationale for North Koreas nuclear development while stressing the importance of the countrys approach. Using qualitative comparative analysis, this paper explains North Korean nuclear development by listing variables, including the capacity to make good on its dreams and the motivation to succeed, comparing the behavior of the Libyan and the North Korean regimes and the Libyan program with that of North Korea. Factors range from the need of the Kim family to survive against domestic opposition to the Norths complexes surrounded by hostile powers. It also considers the collapse of Communist rule in the East Bloc and failed efforts at reaching agreement on the Norths nuclear program. The article accomplishes this goal by outlining the defensive versus offensive purposes of North Korea's nuclear program in terms of the inspiration for reunification of the Korean peninsula, comparing that motivation with the need of Gaddafi to unite his people behind his leadership. Suggesting a new set of factors for proliferation, the paper makes clear the implications of North Korea's nuclear policy for the future not only of North Korea but for both North and South Korea, the entire Korean peninsula. During the presidency of Moon Jae-in, there was a widespread perception that the Ministry of Patriots and Veterans Affairs should treat those who contributed to the establishment of the North Korean regime as subjects of national merit. The Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK), however, has always been motivated by the dream of establishing its own revisionist system. Thus, it is more important than ever to analyze the nature of the North Korean regime and its nuclear programs
참고문헌 (17)
- Bechtol, B. E., "The Last Days of Kim Jong-il : The North Korean Threat in a Changing Era" (2010), Potomac Books
- Campbell, K. M., "The Nuclear Tipping Point : Why States Reconsider Their Nuclear Choices" (2004), Brookings Institution Press
- Cha, V. D, "North Korea's Weapons of Mass Destruction: Badges, Shields, or Swords?", Political Science Quarterly, 117(2), pp.209~230 (2002)
- Cirincione, J., "Bomb Scar : The History and Future of Nuclear Weapons" (2007), Columbia University Press
- Eberstadt, N, "Engagement' to Threat Reduction: Moving toward a North Korea Strategy That Works", Statement prepared before the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations On Confronting the North Korea Threat: Reassessing Policy Options, January 31, 2017, ~ (2017)
- Echymans, J., "Theories of nuclear proliferation : The state of the field", Nonproliferation Review, 13(3), pp.455~465 (2006)
- "대한민국 보훈처인가? 북한 보훈처인가?"[URL]
- Habib, B., "North Korea's nuclear weapons programme and the maintenance of the Songun system", The Pacific Review, 24(1), pp.43~64 (2011)
- Hymans, J. E. C., "Nuclear India in the Twenty-First Century", pp.139~160 (2002), Palgrave Macmillan
- "Mission & Vision"[URL]
- Pinkston, D, "North Korea's foreign policy towards the United States", Strategic Insights, V(7), pp.3~ (2006)
- Potter, W. C., "Forecasting Nuclear Proliferation in the 21st Century 2 A Comparative Perspective", pp.3~10 (2010)
- Quester, G. H., "The Politics of Nuclear Proliferation" (1973), John Hopkins University Press
- Rothman, T., "A State's Choice : Nuclear Policy in a Changing World Between Libya and North Korea", Defense and Security Analysis, 23(3), pp.297~313 (2007)
- Sagan, S. D., "Why Do States Build Nuclear Weapons? Three Models in Search of a Bomb", International Security, 21(3), pp.54~86 (1996)
- Solingen, E., "Nuclear Logics : Contrasting Paths in East Asia and the Middle East" (2007), Princeton University Press
- Jacques E. C. Hymans, "Assessing North Korean Nuclear Intentions and Capacities: A New Approach", Journal of East Asian Studies, 8(2), pp.259~292 (2008), 동아시아연구원