Strategy Analysis for Denuclearizing North Korea
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Issue linkage is a negotiation technique by which one issue is tied to another that is difficult to agree on, expecting to achieve agreement on both. The ‘Denuclearization, Openness, 3000’ is a policy of the Lee Myung-bak administration that employs issue linkage by offering economic cooperation on the premise that North Korea abandons its nuclear programs. In this paper, I consider the ‘Denuclearization, Openness, 3000’ as an example of issue linkage and examine its efficiency as a policy tool for denuclearizing North Korea. For the framework of analysis, I develop the game theory model of issue linkage extended from the interdependence model, which was developed by Kelly and Thibaut. The result shows that it is enough for South Korea to use issue linkage as a technique for the issue of denuclearization in order to induce cooperation from North Korea. However, the ‘Openness, 3000’ policy proves to be non-satisfactory as an effective “link” to the denuclearization issue.
Abstract
Issue linkage is a negotiation technique by which one issue is tied to another that is difficult to agree on, expecting to achieve agreement on both. The ‘Denuclearization, Openness, 3000’ is a policy of the Lee Myung-bak administration that employs issue linkage by offering economic cooperation on the premise that North Korea abandons its nuclear programs. In this paper, I consider the ‘Denuclearization, Openness, 3000’ as an example of issue linkage and examine its efficiency as a policy tool for denuclearizing North Korea. For the framework of analysis, I develop the game theory model of issue linkage extended from the interdependence model, which was developed by Kelly and Thibaut. The result shows that it is enough for South Korea to use issue linkage as a technique for the issue of denuclearization in order to induce cooperation from North Korea. However, the ‘Openness, 3000’ policy proves to be non-satisfactory as an effective “link” to the denuclearization issue.
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