The Impact of Domestic Politics on North Korea’s Foreign Policy
0
조회
0
다운로드
1
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
One of the most promising theoretical perspectives in the study of foreign policy is that it is heavily influenced by domestic politics. In this study, we will examine North Korea’s foreign policy with respect to its domestic political situation. In particular, we will attempt to uncover the influence that domestic politics has in North Korea’s foreign policy behavior, specifically in regard to weapons of mass destruction. Whether or not and to what extent domestic politics influence the nuclear issues are the primary questions that we will attempt to address in this paper. In answering these questions, we will analyze three of the most recent nuclear crises: the first nuclear crisis of 1993-1994, the missile crisis of 1998 and the second nuclear crisis of 2002-2003. The diversionary theory will be utilized as the primary theoretical framework to analyze the cases. Based on suggestions from the diversionary theory, we will test the hypothesis that North Korea conducts its foreign policy in a risky manner as a means to divert the people’s attention outward when the regime is (or perceives that it is) facing difficulties in domestic politics. For that purpose, we will examine the domestic political situation in North Korea during these periods and analyze the perceptions of the Pyongyang regime in such circumstances.
Abstract
One of the most promising theoretical perspectives in the study of foreign policy is that it is heavily influenced by domestic politics. In this study, we will examine North Korea’s foreign policy with respect to its domestic political situation. In particular, we will attempt to uncover the influence that domestic politics has in North Korea’s foreign policy behavior, specifically in regard to weapons of mass destruction. Whether or not and to what extent domestic politics influence the nuclear issues are the primary questions that we will attempt to address in this paper. In answering these questions, we will analyze three of the most recent nuclear crises: the first nuclear crisis of 1993-1994, the missile crisis of 1998 and the second nuclear crisis of 2002-2003. The diversionary theory will be utilized as the primary theoretical framework to analyze the cases. Based on suggestions from the diversionary theory, we will test the hypothesis that North Korea conducts its foreign policy in a risky manner as a means to divert the people’s attention outward when the regime is (or perceives that it is) facing difficulties in domestic politics. For that purpose, we will examine the domestic political situation in North Korea during these periods and analyze the perceptions of the Pyongyang regime in such circumstances.
참고문헌 (31)
- Ahn Yinhay, "North Korea’s Monolithic System and Policy Competition" (1996), Korea Institute for National Unification
- Andreski, Stanislav, "On the Peaceful Disposition of Military Dictatorships", Jounal of Strategic Issues, 3(3), pp.3~10 (1980)
- Brody, Richard, "Assessing the President" (1991), Stanford University Press
- Coser, Lewis, "The Functions of Social Conflict" (1956), The Free Press
- Gelpi, Christopher, "Democratic Diversions: Governmental Structure and the Externalization of Domestic Conflict", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 41(2), pp.255~282 (1997)
- Haggard, Stephan, "Famine in North Korea: Markets, Aid, and Reform" (2007), Columbia Universsity Press
- Harrison, Selig S., "Korea End Game: A Strategy for Reunification and U.S. Disengagement" (2002), Princeton University Press
- Hetherington, Marc J., "Anatomy of a Rally Effect: George W. Bush and the War on Terrorism", Political Science & Politics, 36(1), pp.37~42 (2003)
- Krippendorff, Klaus, "Content Analysis: An Introduction to its Methodology" (2004), Sage Publications
- Lee, Suk, "The DPRK Famine of 1994: Existence and Impact" (2005), Korea Institute for National Unification
- Leeds, Brett A., "Domestic Political Vulnerability and International Disputes", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 41(6), pp.814~834 (1997)
- Alexandre Y. Mansourov, "North Korea Stressed: Life on the Hamster Wheel", International Journal of Korean Unification Studies, 14(2), pp.85~114 (2005), 통일연구원
- Mansourov, Alexandre Y., "North Korean Decision-Making Processes Regarding the Nuclear Issues, In Peace and Security in East Asia" (1997), The M.E. Sharpe
- Midlarsky, Manus I., "The Impact of External Threat on States and Domestic Societies", International Studies Review, 5(4), pp.13~18 (2003)
- Miller, Ross, "Domestic Structures and the Diversionary Use of Force", American Journal of Political Science, 39(3), pp.760~785 (1995)
- Moon, Chung-in, "North Korean Foreign Policy in Comparative and Theoretical Perspective, In North Korea and the World: Explaining Pyongyang’s Foreign Policy" (2000), Kyungnam University Press
- Morgan, Clifton T., "Domestic Support and Diversionary External Conflict in Great Britain, 1950-1992", Journal of Politics, 61(3), pp.799~814 (1999)
- Mueller, John E., "Presidential Popularity from Truman to Johnson", American Political Science Review, 64(1), pp.18~34 (1970)
- Neustadt, Richard, "Presidential Power: The Politics of Leadership" (1996), Wiley
- Oh, Kongdan, "North Korea through the Looking Glass" (2000), The Brookings Institution
- Ostrom, Charles W. Jr., "The President and the Use of Force", American Political Science Review, 80(2), pp.541~566 (1986)
- Park, Han S., "North Korea: The Politics of Unconventional Wisdom" (2002), Lynne Rienner Publishers
- Patrick, James, "The Influence of Domestic and International Politics on the President’s Use of Force", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 35(2), pp.307~322 (1991)
- Polsby, Nelson, "Congress and the Presidency" (1964), Prentice-Hall
- Saccone, Richard, "To the Brink and Back: Negotiating with North Korea" (2003), Hollym International Press
- Satterwhite, David H., "North Korea in 1997: New Opportunities in a Time of Crisis", Asian Survey, 38(1), pp.11~23 (1998)
- Scalapino, Robert A., "Communism in Korea, Part II: The Society" (1992), University of California Press
- Simmel, Geog, "Conflict and the Web of Group-Affiations" (1955), The Free Press
- Snyder, Scott, "North Korea’s Challenge of Regime Survival: Internal Problems and Implications for the Future", Pacific Affairs, 73(4), pp.517~533 (2000)
- Sobek, David, "Rallying around the Podesta: Testing Diversionary Theory across Time", Journal of Peace Research, 44(1), pp.29~45 (2007)
- Waltz, Kenneth N., "Electoral Punishment and Foreign Policy Analysis, In Domestic Sources of Foreign Policy" (1967), The Free Press
