A Japanese Perspective on North Korea: Troubled Bilateral Relations in a Complex Multilateral Framework
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North Korea’s missile and nuclear tests in 2009 highlighted the strategic environment of Northeast Asia as well as the current tactical calculation of countries involved. North Korea is benefiting from its relative strategic weakness and lack of policy and tactical coordination among members of the Six-Party Talks. Without the effective military capability to deal with the North Korean threat, Japan relies heavily on economic sanctions to deal with the issue. This paper argues that Japan’s North Korea policy is currently regarding the abduction issue as its foremost priority; its policy in approaching North Korea is becoming static and inflexible. Without a diplomatic solution in sight, Japan has established non-military means to pressure North Korea, as well as a contingency plan to deal with incoming threats. Under the auspices of UN Security Council Resolution (UNSCR) 1718 and its domestic arrangements, Japan virtually curtailed economic relations with North Korea. Furthermore, Japan prepared crisis arrangement exercises which may be applicable to bio-terrorism and pandemics. Recently, there have been some political debates regarding options to attack defensively. These debates reflect Japan’s activism in regional affairs, and the seriousness of threat posed by North Korea. Along with other members of the Six-Party Talks, Japan may have to seek an appropriate balance between pressure and negotiation in order to maintain the status quo and reduce the threats posed by North Korea.
Abstract
North Korea’s missile and nuclear tests in 2009 highlighted the strategic environment of Northeast Asia as well as the current tactical calculation of countries involved. North Korea is benefiting from its relative strategic weakness and lack of policy and tactical coordination among members of the Six-Party Talks. Without the effective military capability to deal with the North Korean threat, Japan relies heavily on economic sanctions to deal with the issue. This paper argues that Japan’s North Korea policy is currently regarding the abduction issue as its foremost priority; its policy in approaching North Korea is becoming static and inflexible. Without a diplomatic solution in sight, Japan has established non-military means to pressure North Korea, as well as a contingency plan to deal with incoming threats. Under the auspices of UN Security Council Resolution (UNSCR) 1718 and its domestic arrangements, Japan virtually curtailed economic relations with North Korea. Furthermore, Japan prepared crisis arrangement exercises which may be applicable to bio-terrorism and pandemics. Recently, there have been some political debates regarding options to attack defensively. These debates reflect Japan’s activism in regional affairs, and the seriousness of threat posed by North Korea. Along with other members of the Six-Party Talks, Japan may have to seek an appropriate balance between pressure and negotiation in order to maintain the status quo and reduce the threats posed by North Korea.
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