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Byungjin and the Sources of Pyongyang’s Paranoia

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While 2017 ended amid fears that the “war of words” between the American President, Donald Trump, and the North Korea Supreme Leader, Kim Jong Un, would escalate out of control, 2018 and early 2019 were marked by a series of summits between Kim Jong Un on one side and Moon Jae-in and Trump on the other. With Pyongyang’s continued ballistic missile tests and its increasingly chilly diplomatic tone towards Seoul, it is apparent that Kim Jong Un’s apparent show of diplomacy in 2018 and early 2019 were part of a wider delaying tactic arising from Pyongyang’s fear that Trump was reckless enough to start a war on the Korean Peninsula. Broadly speaking, the Byungjin doctrine serves as a more useful indicator of Kim Jong Un’s policy priorities, including his identification with a nuclear arsenal in ensuring regime survival.

Abstract

While 2017 ended amid fears that the “war of words” between the American President, Donald Trump, and the North Korea Supreme Leader, Kim Jong Un, would escalate out of control, 2018 and early 2019 were marked by a series of summits between Kim Jong Un on one side and Moon Jae-in and Trump on the other. With Pyongyang’s continued ballistic missile tests and its increasingly chilly diplomatic tone towards Seoul, it is apparent that Kim Jong Un’s apparent show of diplomacy in 2018 and early 2019 were part of a wider delaying tactic arising from Pyongyang’s fear that Trump was reckless enough to start a war on the Korean Peninsula. Broadly speaking, the Byungjin doctrine serves as a more useful indicator of Kim Jong Un’s policy priorities, including his identification with a nuclear arsenal in ensuring regime survival.

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