Sino-American Competition and Its Implications for East Asia
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Relations between China and the United States are strained, and current signs indicate that this relationship between the world's two largest economies may suffer further deterioration in the future. This essay considers the ongoing power transition between these countries but in a broader context where other conditions also contribute to elevating the danger of a direct conflict. Taiwan is the most likely trigger for this possible conflict, one that is fundamentally driven by the state of Sino-American relations. I also offer some additional remarks about the Korean Peninsula. We are entering a period when the tacit grand bargain that has heretofore undergirded relations between the East Asian countries and the U.S. seems to be unravelling. They are in the process of seeking a new arrangement in a bifurcated region characterized by China as the ascendant economic power and the U.S. as the preeminent military power.
Abstract
Relations between China and the United States are strained, and current signs indicate that this relationship between the world's two largest economies may suffer further deterioration in the future. This essay considers the ongoing power transition between these countries but in a broader context where other conditions also contribute to elevating the danger of a direct conflict. Taiwan is the most likely trigger for this possible conflict, one that is fundamentally driven by the state of Sino-American relations. I also offer some additional remarks about the Korean Peninsula. We are entering a period when the tacit grand bargain that has heretofore undergirded relations between the East Asian countries and the U.S. seems to be unravelling. They are in the process of seeking a new arrangement in a bifurcated region characterized by China as the ascendant economic power and the U.S. as the preeminent military power.
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