SIRV Q train models for the first outbreak of the Omicron variant in Korea
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We will suggest a train model to explain the weekly periodic character of Covid19 in South Korea on the first half of 2022, the period of the Omicron variant outbreak. In the model, the daily new infected individuals board a train, divided into 4 compartments. The train moves at night by the length of one compartment. Then the infected are quarantined during the daytime after their compartment reaches the quarantine area. Then it remains empty on the 5-th night after boarding. The parameters of the model are fitted with the daily measured quarantine populations and generate the simulated quarantine populations that hit the real weekly and global peaks.
Abstract
We will suggest a train model to explain the weekly periodic character of Covid19 in South Korea on the first half of 2022, the period of the Omicron variant outbreak. In the model, the daily new infected individuals board a train, divided into 4 compartments. The train moves at night by the length of one compartment. Then the infected are quarantined during the daytime after their compartment reaches the quarantine area. Then it remains empty on the 5-th night after boarding. The parameters of the model are fitted with the daily measured quarantine populations and generate the simulated quarantine populations that hit the real weekly and global peaks.
참고문헌 (6)
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