북한의 선군경제노선과 7·1조치의 상관관계 분석

Abstract

From the view of the economic policy of North Korea in the 2000’s, it could be seen a coexistence of the effort to maintain the planned economy and to scape from the planned-economy. North Korea, which waived the existing ‘revolutionary economic strategy’ on Sept., 17, 1998 and selected ‘an independent national economy’, based on heavy industry, took the series of ‘economic management improvement measures’ considered as ‘economic reform’ such as decentralization of plans, opening of ‘socialistic goods exchange markets’ and the change of the establishment criteria of price and wage through the so called ‘Order on Oct. 3’ of Kim Jeong il,2001. In July 2002, North Korea took ‘Economic Reform Measures in July 1’ to increase price and wage. In addition, Apr. 2003, after 9 months from that time we found that North Korea selected ‘Army-First Economic polcy’to consider the military industry most important in Sept., 2002. The existing researches regarding the change of North Korea’s economic policy have been limited to analyze those policies independedntly. For example, the researches predicted that North Korea would take a stance of economic reform and opening fully only when North Korea showed a hint of movement of ‘economic reform’ through ‘Order on Oct. 3’ and ‘Economic Reform Measures in July 1’. There were also predictions that North Korea would adopt a Chinese-type economic reform and opening. In the mean time as ‘Army-First Economic polcy’ emerged, an analysis for North Korea to go back to the conservative policy was derived. This study is purposed to analyze the relationship between ‘Economic Reform Measures in July 1’ and ‘Army-First Economic policy’ in respect that it is difficult to properly grasp the realities of the North Korea’s economic policy with a simple analysis method. These two polices have ‘reformatory factor’ and ‘conservative factor’ respectively. And the key point of this study is that separately analyzing both is irrational since ‘Economic Reform Measures in July 1’ were taken as means to perform the North Korea’s economic policy called as ‘Army-First Economic polcy’.