Decision to End Economic Sanctions: Trade Sanction Types and Sender’s Withdrawal
0
조회
0
다운로드
0
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
This research explores the duration of economic sanctions focusing on the domestic redistributional impacts of trade type sanctions on sender governments’ decision to withdraw. Trade sanctions are distinguished between export controls and import restrictions. This research hypothesizes that import restrictions can offer import-competing sectors economic rents and lead the sender governments to continue economic sanctions. Conversely, the use of export controls may incur economic losses for export-oriented industries and accelerate the sender governments’ decision to capitulate. Utilizing the Global Sanctions Data Base for empirical analysis, the study finds that export controls accelerate the termination of sanctions, whereas import restrictions have a less significant effect on prolonging them. This research expands the study of economic sanctions by exploring the sender countries’ rationale to continue or terminate economic sanctions. The findings emphasize that the domestic redistributional effects of sanctions play an important role in explaining the decision to end economic coercion.
Abstract
This research explores the duration of economic sanctions focusing on the domestic redistributional impacts of trade type sanctions on sender governments’ decision to withdraw. Trade sanctions are distinguished between export controls and import restrictions. This research hypothesizes that import restrictions can offer import-competing sectors economic rents and lead the sender governments to continue economic sanctions. Conversely, the use of export controls may incur economic losses for export-oriented industries and accelerate the sender governments’ decision to capitulate. Utilizing the Global Sanctions Data Base for empirical analysis, the study finds that export controls accelerate the termination of sanctions, whereas import restrictions have a less significant effect on prolonging them. This research expands the study of economic sanctions by exploring the sender countries’ rationale to continue or terminate economic sanctions. The findings emphasize that the domestic redistributional effects of sanctions play an important role in explaining the decision to end economic coercion.
참고문헌 (34)
- Alt, James E., "The Political Economy of Trading States : Factor Specificity, Collective Action Problems, and Domestic Political Institutions", Journal of Political Philosophy, 2(2), pp.165~192 (1994)
- Ang, Adrian U-Jin., "When Do Economic Sanctions Work? Asymmetric Perceptions, Issue Salience, and Outcomes", Political Research Quarterly, 60(1), pp.135~154 (2007)
- "Correlates of War Project Trade Data Set Codebook, Version 4.0" (2016)[URL]
- Bolks, Sean M., "How Long Do Economic Sanctions Last? Examining the Sanctioning Process through Duration", Political Research Quarterly, 53(2), pp.241~265 (2000)
- Box-Steffensmeier, Janet M, "Event History Modeling:A Guide for Social Scientists" (2004), Cambridge University Press
- Brooks, Risa A., "Sanctions and Regime Type: What Works, and When?", Security Studies, 11(4), pp.1~50 (2002)
- Dehejia, Rajeev, "Propensity Score-matching Methods for Nonexperimental Causal Studies", Review of Economics and Statistics, 84(1), pp.151~161 (2002)
- Diehl, Paul F., "Peace Data : Concept, Measurement, Patterns, and Research Agenda", Conflict Management and Peace Science, 38(5), pp.605~624 (2021)
- Dizaji, Sajjad, "Potential Early Phase Success and Ultimate Failure of Economic Sanctions: A VAR Approach with an Application to Iran", Journal of Peace Research, 50(6), pp.721~736 (2013)
- Dorussen, Han, "Ending Economic Sanctions: Audience Costs and Rent-Seeking as Commitment Strategies", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 45(4), pp.395~426 (2001)
- Drezner, Daniel, "The Sanctions Paradox: Economic Statecraft and International Relations" (1999), Cambridge University Press
- Drury, A. Cooper, "Revisiting Economic Sanctions Reconsidered", Journal of Peace Research, 35(4), pp.497~509 (1998)
- Felbermayr, Gabriel, "The Global Sanctions Data Base", European Economic Review, 129, pp.1~23 (2021)
- Gilens, Martin, "Inequality and Democratic Responsiveness", Public Opinion Quarterly, 69(5), pp.778~796 (2005)
- Gleditsch, Kristian S., "Expanded Trade and GDP Data", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 46, pp.712~724 (2002)
- Goemans, Hein, "Introducing Archigos : A Dataset of Political Leaders", Journal of Peace Research, 46(2), pp.269~283 (2009)
- Haptipoglu, Emre, "A Story of Institutional Misfit : Congress and US Economic Sanctions", Foreign Policy Analysis, 10, pp.431~445 (2014)
- Hiscox, Michael J., "Commerce, Coalitions, and Factor Mobility : Evidence from Congres-sional Votes on Trade Legislation", American Political Science Review, 96(3), pp.593~608 (2002)
- Hufbauer, Gary, "Economic Sanctions Reconsidered" (2007), Peterson Institute for International Economics
- Jacobs, Lawrence, "Who Influences U.S. Foreign Policy?", American Political Science Review, 99(1), pp.107~123 (2005)
- Jeong, Jin Mun, "Do Sanction Types Affect the Duration of Economic Sanctions? The Case of Foreign Aid", International Political Science Review, 40(2), pp.231~245 (2019)
- Kaempfer, William H., "The Theory of International Economic Sanctions : A Public Choice Approach", American Economic Review, 78(4), pp.786~793 (1988)
- Kirshner, Jonathan, "The Microfoundations of Economic Sanctions", Security Studies, 6(3), pp.32~64 (1997)
- Krustev, Valentin, "Ending Economic Coercion : Domestic Politics and International Bargaining", Conflict Management and Peace Science, 28(4), pp.351~376 (2011)
- Lektzian, David, "The Economic Peace Between Democracies : Economic Sanctions and Domestic Institutions", Journal of Peace Research, 40(6), pp.641~660 (2003)
- "Polity5 Project, Political Regime Characteristics and Transitions, 1800~2018" (2020)[URL]
- McGilvray, Fiona., "Political Institutions, Coercive Diplomacy, and the Duration of Economic Sanctions", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 48(2), pp.154~172 (2004)
- McLean, Elena V., "Designing foreign policy : Voters, special interest groups, and economic sanctions", Journal of Peace Research, 51(5), pp.589~602 (2014)
- Morgan, T, Clifton., "Fools Suffer Gladly : The Use of Economic Sanctions in International Crises", International Studies Quarterly, 41(1), pp.27~50 (1997)
- Pond, Amy, "Economic Sanctions and Demand for Protection", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 61(5), pp.1073~1094 (2017)
- Rogowski, Ronald, "Political Cleavages and Changing Exposure to International Trade", American Political Science Review, 81(4), pp.1121~1137 (1987)
- Rowe, David M, "Sanctions as Economic Statecraft: Theory and Practice" (2004), Macmillian Press Ltd
- Scheve, Kenneth, "What Determines Individual Trade-Policy Preferences?", Journal of International Economics, 54(2), pp.267~292 (2001)
- "World Development Indicators" (2023)[URL]
