대통령제 국가에서의 연립정부 구성 유형과 민주적 거버넌스
Types of Coalition Government Formation and Democratic Governance in Presidential Democracies
0
조회
0
다운로드
0
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
본 연구는 대통령제 국가에서의 연립정부 효과를 분석했던 기존연구의 한계를극복하고, 민주적 거버넌스에 대한 연립정부의 영향력을 더 명확하게 규명하고자 했다. 분석은 연립정부 내각의 구성 유형, 즉 연립내각의 참여 정당 수와 의석률에 초점을 맞추어 이들 변수에 따라 민주적 거버넌스에 대한 영향력이 어떻게 달라지는지를 패널분석 방법으로 진행했다. 패널분석 결과, 연립내각 참여 정당 수 변수는 종속변수에 따라 상이한 효과를나타냈다. ‘참여/요구와 책임성’과 ‘정부 효과성’ 지수에서는 4개 정당으로 이루어진 연립내각만이 통계적으로 유의미한 긍정적 효과를 보였다. ‘정치적 안정성’ 지수의 경우, 2개, 3개, 4개 정당으로 이루어진 연립내각 모두 통계적으로매우 유의미한 긍정적 차이를 나타냈다. 이를 통해, 국정 공동 운영의 손익분기점이 되는 연립내각의 참여 정당 수는 대통령 집권당을 포함한 4개 정당임을확인할 수 있었다. 한편, 민주적 거버넌스에 대한 연립내각의 의석률 변수 효과는 ‘정부 효과성’과 ‘정치적 안정성’ 지수에서만 통계적으로 유의미했다.
Abstract
This study aims to overcome the limitations of previous research on the effects of coalition governments in presidential systems, and to more clearly identify the impact of coalition governments on democratic governance. This paper focuses on the composition types of coalition cabinets, specifically the number of parties participating in the cabinets and their seat shares, and employs panel analysis to analyze how these variables affect democratic governance, particularly the ‘political stability’ index. Panel analysis of the ‘voice and accountability,’ ‘government effectiveness,’ and ‘political stability’ indices showed that the effect of participating parties in coalition cabinets differed depending on the dependent variable. For ‘voice and accountability’ and ‘government effectiveness’ indices, only coalition cabinets composed of 4 parties showed statistically significant positive effects. In the case of the ‘political stability’ index, coalition cabinets composed of 2, 3, and 4 parties all showed statistically highly significant positive differences. Meanwhile, the effect of the coalition cabinet’s seat share variable on democratic governance was statistically significant only for the ‘government effectiveness’ and ‘political stability’ indices.
참고문헌 (30)
- 안용흔, "대통령제 국가에서의 연립정부 구성의 정치", 비교민주주의연구, 16(1), pp.33~68 (2020)
- 안용흔, "대통령제 국가의 연립정부와 민주주의 운영", 의정논총, 16(2), pp.29~54 (2021)
- 홍재우, "대통령제와 연립정부 : 제도적 한계의 제도적 해결", 한국정치학회보, 46(1), pp.89~112 (2012)
- Ajenjo, Natalia, "The Investiture Vote in Parliaments and Government Formation", Paper presented for Presentation at Oslo-Rome International Workshop on Democracy (2011), The Norwegian Institute in Rome
- Alemán, Eduardo, "Political Parties and Government Coalitions in the Americas", Journal of Politics in Latin America, 3(1), pp.3~28 (2011)
- Amorim Neto, Octavio, "The Presidential Calculus: Executive Policy Making and Cabinet Formation in the Americas", Comparative Political Studies, 39(4), pp.415~440 (2006)
- Beck, Nathaniel, "What to Do with Time-Series and Cross-Section Data", American Political Science Review, 89(3), pp.634~647 (1995)
- Bergman, Torbjörn, "Formation Rules and Minority Governments", European Journal of Political Research, 23(1), pp.55~66 (1993)
- Cheibub, José Antonio, "Investiture Vote and the Formation of Minority Parliamentary Governments", Paper presented for presentation at the 7th ECPR General Conference (2013), Sciences Po
- Colomer, Joseph M., "Can Presidentialism Work Like Parliamentalism?", Government and Opposition, 40(1), pp.60~89 (2005)
- Fearon, James, "Ethnic and Cultural Diversity by Country", Journal of Economic Growth, 8(2), pp.195~222 (2003)
- Friedrich, Robert J, "In Defense of Multiplicative Terms in Multiple Regression Equations", American Journal of Political Science, 26(4), pp.797~833 (1982)
- Gujarati, Damodar N, "Basic Econometrics" (2004), McGraw-Hill Inc
- Gujarati, Damodar N., "Basic Econometrics" (2009), MacGraw-Hill Education
- Laakso, Markku, "Effective Number of Parties : A Measure with Application to West Europe", Comparative Political Studies, 12(1), pp.3~27 (1979)
- Laver, Michael, "Multiparty Governments" (1990), Oxford University Press
- Lijphart, Arend, "Democracies: Patterns of Majoritarian and Consensus Government in Twenty-One Countries" (1984), Yale University Press
- Lijphart, Arend, "Patterns of Democracy: Government Forms and Performance in Thirty-Six Countries" (2012), Yale University Press
- Linz, Juan, "The Perils of Presidentialism", Journal of Democracy, 1(1), pp.51~69 (1990)
- Linz, Juan, "The Failure of Presidential Democracy: Comparative Perspective Vol. 1" (1994), Johns Hopkins University Press
- Lipset, Seymour Martin, "Some Social Requisites of Democracy: Economic Development and Political Legitimacy", American Political Science Review, 53(1), pp.69~105 (1959)
- Lipset, Seymour Martin, "Some Social Requisites of Democracy Revisited", American Sociological Review, 59(1), pp.1~22 (1994)
- Powell, G. Bingham, Jr, "Contemporary Democracies: Participation, Stability, and Violence" (1982), Harvard University Press
- Powell, G. Bingham, Jr, "Elections as Instruments of Democracy : Majoritarian and Proportional Visions" (2000), Yale University Press
- Saiderman, Stephen M, "Democratization, Political Institutions, and Ethnic Conflict", Comparative Political Studies, 35(1), pp.103~129 (2002)
- Samuels, David, "Presidentialism, Elections, and Representation", Journal of Theoretical Politics, 15(1), pp.33~60 (2003)
- Samuels, David, "Presidents, Parties, and Prime Ministers: How the Separation of Powers Affects Party Organization and Behavior" (2010), Cambridge University Press
- Tsebelis, George, "Decision Making in Political Systems : Veto Players in Presidentialism, Parliamentalism, Multicameralism and Multipartyism", British Journal of Political Science, 25(3), pp.289~325 (1995)
- Wooldridge, Jeffrey M, "Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach" (2009), Cengage Learning
- Wooldridge, Jeffrey M, "Econometric Analysis of Cross-Section and Panel Data" (2010), MIT Press