본문 바로가기
KERD
논문KCI 등재후보

The Trump Administration’s NEGOTIATION STRATEGY Towards the North Korean Nuclear Crisis: South Korea’s Response

2

조회

0

다운로드

7

인용

0

참고문헌

키워드

주제분류기타사회과학

초록

Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to review denuclearization talks between the US and DPRK and map out policy alternatives for South Korea by analyzing Trump’s strategy toward the DPRK. The denuclearization of North Korea remains an important issue for the security of Northeast Asia and has been the subject of a variety of negotiation strategies. Despite the failure of previous negotiations to achieve the objective of denuclearization, they still hold important lessons for ongoing efforts. Method: This paper analyzes the negotiations between North Korea and the United States(US) through the lens of Fisher and Ury's model of principled negotiations. It offers the possibility for dealing with some of the most intractable and potentially destructive conflicts, such as that surrounding a nuclear deal with the DPRK. In particular, Fisher and Ury’s negotiation model can be a suitable analysis framework for denuclearization talks between the US and DPRK because it raises the prospect of a win-win situation for all the entities. Results: First, for the rational solution of the negotiation, the South Korean government has to differentiate issues from actors. Second, we need to focus on benefits or interests rather than positions. The positions taken in the negotiations must reflect the central interest or purpose, that of denuclearization, rather than political interests, which may be just a modified populism. Third, we need to focus on the benefits of a denuclearization settlement between the US and North Korea. If the denuclearization negotiations between the US and North Korea are concluded and the DPRK agrees to complete denuclearization, economic cooperation between the two Koreas will be accelerated and it will be a win-win situation for both parties. Fourth, in the process of denuclearization talks, South Korea has to keep consistency based on objective criteria. South Korean government has to obtain the consent of all actors by mapping out a roadmap for the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula. Conclusion: As the negotiation process for the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula may take a long time and may not be smooth due to conflicting interest(or at least, in Fisher and Ury’s terminology, positions), it is important that as a first step, the three parties can agree on a definition of denuclearization and its constituent elements. As part of this process, South Korea should be able to present a credible denuclearization roadmap that can construct a consensus between North Korea and the US.

Abstract

Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to review denuclearization talks between the US and DPRK and map out policy alternatives for South Korea by analyzing Trump’s strategy toward the DPRK. The denuclearization of North Korea remains an important issue for the security of Northeast Asia and has been the subject of a variety of negotiation strategies. Despite the failure of previous negotiations to achieve the objective of denuclearization, they still hold important lessons for ongoing efforts. Method: This paper analyzes the negotiations between North Korea and the United States(US) through the lens of Fisher and Ury's model of principled negotiations. It offers the possibility for dealing with some of the most intractable and potentially destructive conflicts, such as that surrounding a nuclear deal with the DPRK. In particular, Fisher and Ury’s negotiation model can be a suitable analysis framework for denuclearization talks between the US and DPRK because it raises the prospect of a win-win situation for all the entities. Results: First, for the rational solution of the negotiation, the South Korean government has to differentiate issues from actors. Second, we need to focus on benefits or interests rather than positions. The positions taken in the negotiations must reflect the central interest or purpose, that of denuclearization, rather than political interests, which may be just a modified populism. Third, we need to focus on the benefits of a denuclearization settlement between the US and North Korea. If the denuclearization negotiations between the US and North Korea are concluded and the DPRK agrees to complete denuclearization, economic cooperation between the two Koreas will be accelerated and it will be a win-win situation for both parties. Fourth, in the process of denuclearization talks, South Korea has to keep consistency based on objective criteria. South Korean government has to obtain the consent of all actors by mapping out a roadmap for the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula. Conclusion: As the negotiation process for the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula may take a long time and may not be smooth due to conflicting interest(or at least, in Fisher and Ury’s terminology, positions), it is important that as a first step, the three parties can agree on a definition of denuclearization and its constituent elements. As part of this process, South Korea should be able to present a credible denuclearization roadmap that can construct a consensus between North Korea and the US.

참고문헌 (21)

  1. Spector B, "Introduction: Roger Fisher and William Ury’s Getting to Yes: Negotiating Agreement without Giving In", The Academy of Management Executive, 18(3), pp.99~100 (2004)
  2. Fisher R, "Getting to Yes: Negotiating an Agreement without Giving in" (1999), Random House Business Books
  3. 조성구, "The United Nation's Response Strategy for North KOREA's DENUCLEARIZATION", International Journal of Military Affairs, 3(2), pp.20~28 (2018), J-INSTITUTE
  4. 이상수, "The Strategies of ROK’s DEFENSE REFORM with Special Reference to the Peace Process and Arms Control", International Journal of Military Affairs, 5(2), pp.1~8 (2020), J-INSTITUTE
  5. Easley L, "Trump and Kim Jong Un: Climbing the Diplomatic Ladder", North Korean Review,, 16(1), pp.104~105 (2020)
  6. Park Jong-tak, "A Study on the Use of MILLITARY Forces in the NORTH KOREAN Regime", International Journal of Military Affairs, 4(2), pp.18~24 (2019), J-INSTITUTE
  7. Choi Won-sang, "A Study on the Overcoming of the Asymmetry of the Korea-U.S. Alliance: Focusing on the Trump Administration’s Security, Economic and MILITARY Alliance Policies", International Journal of Military Affairs, 4(2), pp.1~9 (2019), J-INSTITUTE
  8. Edward Kwon, "Denuclearization of North Korea: Before and After the Summits", The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis, 31(3), pp.309~328 (2019), 한국국방연구원[DOI]
  9. 조성구, "Terrorism CRISIS on Northeast Asia", International Journal of Crisis & Safety, 5(1), pp.35~42 (2020), J-INSTITUTE
  10. Junya N, "Assessment of the Second US-North Korea Summit and the Future Course of North Korea’s Denuclearization", Asia-pacific Review, 26(1), pp.155~156 (2019)
  11. Minnich JM, "Denuclearization through Peace: A Policy Approach to Change North Korea from Foe to Friend", pp.18~19 (2020), Military Review
  12. Robinson SM, "Probabilistic Verification: A New Concept for Verifying the Denuclearization of North Korea", Arms Control Today, ~ (2019)
  13. Nam K, "The Moon Jae-in Administration’s North Korea Policy and Korea-US Relations", Asian Education and Development Studies, 8(1), pp.59~74 (2019)
  14. 박철희, "Beyond Optimism and Skepticism about North Korean Denuclearization: A Case for Conditional Engagement", Journal of International and Area Studies, 25(2), pp.107~125 (2018), 국제학연구소[DOI]
  15. Fact File, "Chronology of U.S.-North Korean Nuclear and Missile Diplomacy", Arms Control Toda, ~ (2018), ZArms Control Today
  16. Kwak T, "Resolving the North Korean Nuclear Issue through the Six-party Process: A Creative Formula", The Journal of East Asian Affairs, 20(1), pp.1~25 (2006)
  17. Hideya K, "Korean Peace-building and Sino-US Relations: an Ad-hoc Concert of Interests?", Journal of Contemporary East Asia Studies,, 8(1), pp.30~49 (2019)
  18. 김진아, "Issues Regarding North Korean Denuclearization Roadmap with a Focus on Implications from the Iran Nuclear Deal", The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis, 30(2), pp.171~193 (2018), 한국국방연구원[DOI]
  19. William HO, "orth Korea: Peace? Nuclear War?" (2019), The Mossavar Rahmani Center
  20. 문주현, "A New Approach to North Korea’s Denuclearization: Lynchpin–First–Removal Roadmap", The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis, 31(3), pp.329~347 (2019), 한국국방연구원[DOI]
  21. 기지윤, "The Capabilities-based Analysis of Alliance Transformation in the Asia-Pacific: Focusing on the ROK-US and US-Philippines Alliances", The Korean Journal of International Studies, 14(3), pp.369~389 (2016), 한국국제정치학회

관련 논문AI추천

이 간행물의 다른 논문 (5건)