South Asia’s Precarious Rivalry - India, Pakistan and Nuclear Weapons -
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Highlighting global nuclear threats in public discourse and the deteriorated relations between India and Pakistan since 2016, this paper explores the role of nuclear weapons in staving off conflict and promoting regional security. It considers that the traditional theoretical models of nuclear relations borne out of Cold War ideology are incomplete and that the Indian-Pakistani case demonstrates that a significant and real threat is posed by nuclear weapons. Since nuclear weapons are central within the wider thesis of nuclear deterrence and the associated dilemmas, and the Indian-Pakistani motivations to ‘go nuclear’ should be simultaneously evaluated along with their nuclear doctrine/policy. Through a study of the conflict between India and Pakistan over seven decades, this paper not only details how nuclear weapons have modified the frame for the conflict but also argues that they have not reduced potential conflicts and have even raised the risks.
Abstract
Highlighting global nuclear threats in public discourse and the deteriorated relations between India and Pakistan since 2016, this paper explores the role of nuclear weapons in staving off conflict and promoting regional security. It considers that the traditional theoretical models of nuclear relations borne out of Cold War ideology are incomplete and that the Indian-Pakistani case demonstrates that a significant and real threat is posed by nuclear weapons. Since nuclear weapons are central within the wider thesis of nuclear deterrence and the associated dilemmas, and the Indian-Pakistani motivations to ‘go nuclear’ should be simultaneously evaluated along with their nuclear doctrine/policy. Through a study of the conflict between India and Pakistan over seven decades, this paper not only details how nuclear weapons have modified the frame for the conflict but also argues that they have not reduced potential conflicts and have even raised the risks.
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