신종위험 대비 국가위기관리 전략 수립 방향 - 전문가 델파이 분석결과를 중심으로 -
Improvement of National Crisis Management Strategy for New Risks ‐ Focusing on the Delphi Analysis of New Risk Issues and Policy Tasks ‐
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초록
본 연구는 신종위험에 대한 국내외 연구가 드문 가운데, 코로나19 이후 급증하는 신종위험에 대한 경각심과 국가 차원의 위기관리 전략 수립의 필요성을 고려하여 전문가 델파이 조사를 통해 미래 신종위험예측 및 국가 위기관리 대응 전략 방안을 모색하고자 하였다. 신종위험은 그 용어적 특성에도 불구하고, 전혀 새로운 위험보다는 이미 재난의 경험과 다양한 환경 신호로부터 위험관리의 이슈와 대상을 파악가능하며, 이를 토대로 전혀 새로운 위험이라는 개념적 한계보다는 새롭게 중점관리 될 위험으로서접근하는 것이 필요하다. 신종위험에 대한 예측 및 대응이 필요한 핵심적 과제는 신종위험이 갖는 부정적파급효과에 있으며, 이를 대비하기 위해 광범위한 대응 기제와 시스템이 필요하고, 상호의존성이 높아지는 현대사회의 특성상 광범위한 감시체제와 데이터 기반의 분석 시나리오를 토대로 역량을 집중하고이를 강화하는 과정이 필요하다. 이를 위해 본 연구는 신종위험 관리 패러다임 전환, 법제도 정비, 조직관리 개선, 협업·소통 강화, 역량 강화의 다섯 가지 측면에서 국가위기관리 전략 과제를 제시하였다.
Abstract
This study sought to predict future new risks and respond to national crisis management strategies through expert Delphi surveys. Despite its terminology, new risks can already identify risk management issues and targets from disaster experiences and various environmental signals rather than new risks, and based on this, it is necessary to approach them as newly focused risks rather than conceptual limitations of completely new risks. The core task of predicting and responding to new risks is the negative ripple effect of new risks, and a wide range of response mechanisms and systems are needed to prepare for them, and due to the nature of modern society, it is necessary to focus and strengthen capabilities based on a wide range of monitoring systems and data-based analysis scenarios. To this end, this study presented national crisis management strategy tasks in five aspects: changing the new risk management paradigm, reorganizing the legal system, improving organizational management, strengthening collaboration and communication, and strengthening capabilities.
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