감염병 발생 흐름에 따른 감염병 취약지수 산출
Calculation of an Infectious Disease Vulnerability Index - Based on the Flow of Infectious Disease Outbreaks -
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초록
감염병 재난은 단기적 충격을 받는 기존의 재난과는 달리 수 년간 지속될 수 있다는 점에서 차별화된다. 또한, 감염병은 감염 여부에 따른 발생 흐름에 따라 취약성이 변할 수 있는 만큼, 재난 대응 시에도 동적인 개념의 접근이 필요하다. 이에 본 연구는 감염병의 감염여부에 따른 시간적 흐름에 따라 취약성의 변화를 살펴보기 위해, 시군구 단위의 감염병 취약성을 감염 취약성과 건강 취약성으로 세분화하여 살펴보았다. 분석 결과, 감염 취약성과 건강 취약성은 높은 음의 상관관계를 보임을 확인할 수 있었다. 도시적 성격이 강하고 인구밀도가 높은 수도권 지역일수록 감염위험이 높은 경향을 보인 반면, 인구가 많지 않거나 인구유출 현상이 나타나는 지역, 인프라 구축이 상대적으로 좋지 않은 지역의 경우 감염위험 은 낮았지만 건강위험이 높은 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 감염병 재난 대응에서 취약성의 복합적이 고 지역 특화된 접근이 필요함을 시사한다.
Abstract
Infectious disease outbreaks differ from traditional disasters in that they can last for several years, leading to prolonged impacts rather than short-term shocks. Vulnerability to these outbreaks also changes over time as the disease evolves, requiring a flexible and dynamic response. This study explores the temporal changes in infectious disease vulnerability at the municipal level, focusing on two aspects: “infection risk vulnerability” and “health risk vulnerability.” The findings show a strong negative correlation between these two types of vulnerability. Urbanized areas, like metropolitan regions, tend to have higher infection risk, while areas with smaller or declining populations face lower infection risk but higher health vulnerability. These results emphasize the need for tailored, region-specific strategies in managing infectious disease outbreaks, considering the distinct vulnerability profiles of each area.
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