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확률론의 측정 철학과 일반이론의 단위 선정 문제

Keynes's Philosophy of Measurement in A Treatise on Probability and the Choice of Units in the General Theory

권기창
한국경제학회 (The Korean Economic Association)|2016.03|경제학연구 (The Korean Journal of Economic Studies)|제64권 제1호|pp. 35-71|DOI 10.22841/kjes.2016.64.1.002

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참고문헌

키워드

케인즈Keynes측정 철학단위 선정philosophy of measurementchoice of units
주제분류경제학

초록

본 연구의 목적은 케인즈가 일반이론에서 제기한 단위 선정 문제를 확률론의측정 철학과 연관 지어 검토하는데 있다. 케인즈는 러셀의 절대주의적 크기 개념과 단절하여 확률의 크기를 세 가지 유형으로 구분하였다. 이 과정에서 규준적이며 임의적인 성격을 가지는 규약․관습적 척도 개념에 중요한 의미를 부여하였다. 케인즈의 측정 철학은 확률론에 그치지 않고, 이후 경제학 저술들 “지수적방법” 및 화폐론에서 확장․심화되었다. 명목변수의 실질변수로의 환원이라는해석이나 노동가치론적 해석과는 달리 케인즈의 측정 철학을 고려할 때, 단위 선정 문제는 규약․관습적 척도를 도입한 것이라는 평가가 가능하다.

Abstract

This paper aims to examine Keynes’s choice of units in the General Theory, in light of his philosophy of measurement established in A Treatise on Probability. Departing from Russell’s absolutist conception of magnitude, Keynes identifies three types of magnitude of probability. In this work significant attention is paid to a concept of conventional measurement, which is normic and arbitrary. This philosophy of measurement has developed later in his economic writings such as “Index Numbers” and A Treatise on Money. Contrary to the dominant interpretations on the “choice of units”, as suggested by both the labor theory of value and the standpoint of reducing monetary magnitudes to real magnitudes, it is found that Keynes employed the conception of conventional measure.

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