서비스업 국제무역특화 패턴과 경제성장간의 상관관계에 대한 연구: OECD국가의 생산성향상효과를 중심으로
A Study on Relationship between International Specialization Pattern in Services and Growth Performance
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기술 잠재력과 수요증가율이 높은 생산자서비스 산업에의 특화가 경제성장에 긍정적으로 작용하는가? 본 연구는 Panel GM 모형을 이용한 실증분석을 통하여 이러한 질문에 답하고자 하였다. 수출비중, 무역특화지수 그리고 현시비교우위지수가 무역특화관련 지수로 고려되었으며, 이 지수들을 설명변수로 하여 1987~2002 년 기간 OECD 12 개국을 대상으로 실증분석 하였다. 추정결과에 따르면 연구개발투자로 대표되는 기술수준의 고도화가 생산자서비스 특화가 성장에 기여하기 위한 선행조건임을 발견하였다. 즉 생산서비스 중 기술수준이 높은 분야로의 특화만이 생산성향상에 긍정적인 영향을 미칠 수 있음을 발견하였다.
Abstract
Does an international specialization oriented toward producer services, which show high technological potential and demand growth, promote economic growth? By using panel GMM estimation, this paper seeks to answer such question. Three indicators of international specialization are considered: export ratio, TSI and RCA, and are introduced as explanatory variables in growth regression for OECD 12 countries over 1987-2002. The results show that the specialization oriented toward producer services may be beneficial to growth according to the national level of technology. The international specialization in producer services is beneficial to growth only when a country is specialized in high technology intensive producer service activities.
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