주식형 펀드의 자금흐름과 포트폴리오 매매
Investor Flows and Portfolio Trading of Equity Funds
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본 논문은 주식형 펀드의 자료를 이용하여 자금흐름과 매매거래의 관계를 분석하고 매매거래와 펀드성과와의 연관성을 살펴보았다. 분석결과 자금유입에 대한 매수거래의 연관성은 0.626, 자금유출에 대한 매도거래의 연관성은 0.726으로 추정되었으며, 자금흐름의 변동성이 높을수록 자금유출입과 매수․매도거래의 관계가 높아지는 것으로 확인되었다. 또한 파생상품의 이용은 자금유출에 따른 매도거래의 규모를 감소시키고, 펀드 설정 초기에 포트폴리오 구성과 관련하여 펀드 자산의 매매가 활발하게 나타났다. 자금유출입에 따른 매매거래가 펀드성과를 저해하지 않으며, 동시에 펀드매니저의 마켓타이밍 능력이 자금흐름에 의해 저해되지 않음을 확인할 수 있었다.
Abstract
This paper investigates the relations between equity fund portfolio trading and investor flow in and out of the funds and estimates indirect cost due to forced trading induced by fund flows. The trading response (portfolio purchases) to inflows is estimated to be 0.626, and the trading response (portfolio sales) to outflows is 0.726. and these relations are more prevalent with higher volatility in fund flows. In addition, the paper finds that the use of derivative lowers the trading response to outflows and that young funds are more sensitive to fund flows. With regard to fund performance, there is no indirect cost in the form of a negative relation between fund performance and investor flow. Neither is there any evidence for the deterioration of market timing ability of the fund managers due to flow-induced trading.
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