Blood Resources: Rebels’ Lootable Resources and Government’s Civilian Killings
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Under what conditions do state leaders engaging in civil war massacre noncombatant civilians or refrain from killing a large number of civilians? This article investigates this question, restricting attention to insurgents’ lootable resources. It explores how rebels’ exploitation of lootable resources accounts for the extent of the government’s civilian killings. I argue that insurgents who exploit lootable resources tend to mistreat civilian populations, which discourages the government from orchestrating massive civilian killings. Conversely, insurgent groups that do not control lootable resources exert efforts to receive civilian support, which stimulates the government’s massive civilian killings. To verify this argument, I construct a dataset that contains information on civil wars from 1945 to 2007 and perform statistical analyses. The results reveal that negative binomial regression models capture the effect of insurgents’ lootable resource on the extent of the government’s civilian killings,whereas OLS models do not. This suggests that the effect of lootable resource is contingent upon which statistical methods to employ, which constrains me from asserting the inverse relationship between rebels’ lootable resources and the scale of civilian killings perpetrated by the government.
Abstract
Under what conditions do state leaders engaging in civil war massacre noncombatant civilians or refrain from killing a large number of civilians? This article investigates this question, restricting attention to insurgents’ lootable resources. It explores how rebels’ exploitation of lootable resources accounts for the extent of the government’s civilian killings. I argue that insurgents who exploit lootable resources tend to mistreat civilian populations, which discourages the government from orchestrating massive civilian killings. Conversely, insurgent groups that do not control lootable resources exert efforts to receive civilian support, which stimulates the government’s massive civilian killings. To verify this argument, I construct a dataset that contains information on civil wars from 1945 to 2007 and perform statistical analyses. The results reveal that negative binomial regression models capture the effect of insurgents’ lootable resource on the extent of the government’s civilian killings,whereas OLS models do not. This suggests that the effect of lootable resource is contingent upon which statistical methods to employ, which constrains me from asserting the inverse relationship between rebels’ lootable resources and the scale of civilian killings perpetrated by the government.
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