The Effect of Local Labor Demand on Employment Location of College Graduates from Non-Capital Regions in Korea
0
조회
0
다운로드
8
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
This study investigates the effect of local labor demand on the employment status and the choice of work location (hometown, capital region, or elsewhere) of four-year-college graduates from non-capital regions by measuring local demand using the Bartik instrument and merging individual data. Based on the results of this study, firstly, the degree of a positive shock to local labor demand is higher in the capital region than in the non-capital regions. This suggests that local labor demand is favorable in the capital region. Secondly, as the local labor demand increases, the probability of hometown employment increases, whereas that in the capital region decreases. Specifically, a 10% positive local labor demand shock increases the probability of hometown employment by 0.1-0.2% and decreases the probability of capital region employment by 0.2-0.3%. Thirdly, compared to male graduates, female graduates are more sensitive to local labor demand conditions. These results imply that current general policies related to national balanced development may contribute to regional human resource cultivation. Furthermore, strategic partnerships between local universities and public institutions transferred to non-capital regions should be constructed in order to create local labor demands.
Abstract
This study investigates the effect of local labor demand on the employment status and the choice of work location (hometown, capital region, or elsewhere) of four-year-college graduates from non-capital regions by measuring local demand using the Bartik instrument and merging individual data. Based on the results of this study, firstly, the degree of a positive shock to local labor demand is higher in the capital region than in the non-capital regions. This suggests that local labor demand is favorable in the capital region. Secondly, as the local labor demand increases, the probability of hometown employment increases, whereas that in the capital region decreases. Specifically, a 10% positive local labor demand shock increases the probability of hometown employment by 0.1-0.2% and decreases the probability of capital region employment by 0.2-0.3%. Thirdly, compared to male graduates, female graduates are more sensitive to local labor demand conditions. These results imply that current general policies related to national balanced development may contribute to regional human resource cultivation. Furthermore, strategic partnerships between local universities and public institutions transferred to non-capital regions should be constructed in order to create local labor demands.
참고문헌 (20)
- 채창균, "대졸 청년층의 취업 성과 결정 요인 분석", 직업교육연구, 28(2), pp.89~107 (2009), 한국직업교육학회
- 홍성효, "세대별 시군구 간 인구이동 결정요인에 관한 실증분석", 서울도시연구, 13(1), pp.1~19 (2012), 서울연구원[DOI]
- 황여정, "대졸 청년층의 노동시장 성과 결정요인", 고용직업능력개발연구, 11(2), pp.1~23 (2008), 한국직업능력개발원
- 2003 Future Job World, "Jin, M. S.", Korea Research Institute for Vocational Education & Training, ~ (2002)
- Jung, T. Y., "Determinants of Job Finding among College Graduates –with Emphasis on the Effects of GPA-", Research of Business Education, 8(2), pp.159~1846 (2005)
- 김안국, "청년층 미취업의 실태 및 원인 분석", 노동경제논집, 26(1), pp.23~52 (2003), 한국노동경제학회
- 김기승, "청년층 인재유출 결정요인 분석과 정책과제: 부산지역을 중심으로", 경제연구, 31(2), pp.103~130 (2013), 한국경제통상학회
- 김현아, "지역간 인구이동의 실증분석", 응용경제, 10(2), pp.75~103 (2008), 한국응용경제학회
- 김진영, "학교에서 직장으로의 이전과정에서 영어의 역할", 노동정책연구, 10(3), pp.1~33 (2010), 한국노동연구원
- 김이영, "인구 유입과 유출을 결정하는 지역 특성 요인에 관한 연구", 한국지역개발학회지, 25(3), pp.1~20 (2013), 한국지역개발학회
- 김영철, "지역 인재의 수도권 대학 진학과 지역 경제력 유출 효과: 대구지역을 중심으로", 지역연구, 19(2), pp.119~142 (2003), 한국지역학회
- 이찬영, "근로유형에 따른 재학 중 근로의 노동시장 초기성과", 경제연구, 31(1), pp.85~106 (2013), 한국경제통상학회
- 이상헌, "노동시장에서 영어점수의 선별․신호 및 임금효과:대졸자를 중심으로", 노동경제논집, 34(2), pp.79~107 (2011), 한국노동경제학회
- Oh, S. G., "An Analysis of the determinants of youth employment probability in Korea", master, pp.2003
- 박우식, "지역인재 유출에 의한 경제력 유출 분석 -대구･경북지역을 중심으로-", 산업경제연구, 24(4), pp.2247~2274 (2011), 한국산업경제학회
- Albert, J. H., "Bayesian Analysis of Binary and Polychotomous Response Data", Journal of the American Statistical Association, 88(422), pp.669~679 (1993)
- Blanchard, O., "Regional Evolutions", Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 23(1), pp.1~76 (1992)
- Bound, J., "Demand Shifts, Population Adjustments, and Labor Market Outcomes during the 1980s", Journal of Labor Economics, 18(1), pp.20~54 (2000)
- McCulloch, R. E, "An Exact Likelihood Analysis of the Multinomial Probit Model", Journal of Econometrics, 64(1-2), pp.207~240 (1994)
- Job Creation and Housing Construction: Constraints on Metropolitan Area Employment Growth, "Saks, R.", Federal Reserve Board of Governors, ~, pp.Finance and Economics Discussion Paper Series #2005-49 (2008)