러시아-우크라이나 전쟁 종결에 관한 연구 : 게임이론을 통한 분석
Analysis of the End of the Russia-Ukraine War: A Game Theory Approach
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본 연구는 러시아-우크라이나 전쟁의 종결 가능성을 게임이론의 관점에서 분석하였다. 주요 시나리오를 선정하여 게임이론을 통해 전쟁의 복잡한전략적 상호작용과 국제적 영향을 평가하고, 전쟁 종결에 영향을 미치는핵심 요소들을 도출했다. 연구 결과, 이 전쟁의 종결은 단순한 군사적 승리를 넘어 양국의 정치⋅ 군사적 목표와 국제사회의 개입에 의해 결정되는 복합적인 과정임이 확인되었다. 특히, 협상을 통한 평화협정과 군사적 승리를 통한 종결이라는 두가지 주요 경로를 제시하였으며, 각 경로의 성공 가능성을 좌우하는 핵심요소들을 분석하였다. 또한 연구는 전쟁의 종결이 단순히 군사적 측면에국한되지 않고, 국제사회와의 협력과 중재가 필수적임을 강조하였다. 결국, 러시아-우크라이나 전쟁의 종결은 단순한 군사적 승리를 넘어서는, 정치적 협상과 국제사회의 협력이 관건이며, 이 전쟁의 미래는 국제 외교와전략적 선택에 의해 종결이 결정될 것이다.
Abstract
This study examines the potential resolution of the Russia-Ukraine war through a game-theoretic lens, analyzing key scenarios to assess the complex strategic interactions and international influences at play. It finds that the war’s outcome is shaped by more than military success, including the political objectives of both countries and international involvement. Two main pathways to resolution are proposed: a negotiated peace agreement or a decisive military victory. The study emphasizes that international cooperation and diplomacy are essential to resolving the conflict, with the war’s outcome depending on a combination of military strategy and political negotiations.
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