본문 바로가기
KERD
논문KCI 등재

Critics on the Exogenous and the Mixed Exogenous–Endogenous Variable Price Estimation Model : A Proposal for the RS Price Estimation Model

0

조회

0

다운로드

1

인용

0

참고문헌

키워드

주제분류경제학

초록

The structural problems of the exogenous price estimation model (the exogenous model) and the mixed exogenous-endogenous variable price estimation model (the conversion model) used in price estimations were evaluated. The occurrence of error was analyzed from both theoretical and empirical aspects. In the exogenous model, inter-industry relations were found to be weak in accordance with the number of industries being converted exogenously. The conversion model encompasses all the input-output structures; however, as exogenous-endogenous variables are replaced with each other, causal relations are changed. As such, limitations were witnessed where the realistic price relations among industries could not be shown. In this type of analysis, proposed as an alternative to these two models is the Ritz-Spaulding type price estimation model (the RS model), the generalization is possible and the existing inter-industry relations can be maintained.

Abstract

The structural problems of the exogenous price estimation model (the exogenous model) and the mixed exogenous-endogenous variable price estimation model (the conversion model) used in price estimations were evaluated. The occurrence of error was analyzed from both theoretical and empirical aspects. In the exogenous model, inter-industry relations were found to be weak in accordance with the number of industries being converted exogenously. The conversion model encompasses all the input-output structures; however, as exogenous-endogenous variables are replaced with each other, causal relations are changed. As such, limitations were witnessed where the realistic price relations among industries could not be shown. In this type of analysis, proposed as an alternative to these two models is the Ritz-Spaulding type price estimation model (the RS model), the generalization is possible and the existing inter-industry relations can be maintained.

참고문헌 (26)

  1. Atsumi, H., "Taxes and Subsides in the Input-Output Model", The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 96(1), pp.27~45 (1981)
  2. Bank of Korea, "Commentary on Input-Output Analysis", ~ (2007)
  3. Bank of Korea, "Input-Output Table, Every Year", ~
  4. Carter, A., "Applications of Input-Output Analysis to Energy Problem", Energy Issues, 184(4134), pp.325~329 (1974)
  5. Evans, D, "The Inter-industry Relations Study for 1947", Review of Economics and Statistics, 34, pp.97~142 (1952)
  6. Hudson, E, "U.S. energy policy and economic growth, 1975∼2000", The Bell Journal of Economic and Management System, 5(2), pp.461~514 (1974)
  7. 지해명, "수요승수(final demand multiplier)와 생산승수(Ritz-Spaulding multiplier) 비교분석: 문화산업과 지식기반산업을 중심으로", 경제학연구, 55(1), pp.135~154 (2007), 한국경제학회
  8. 지해명, "산업연관모형에서 수요-수요승수의 적용과 수요연관구조의 분석", 경제학연구, 56(3), pp.29~53 (2008), 한국경제학회
  9. 지해명, "지역간 수요승수와 수요연관구조 분석: IRIO모형의 적용", 지역연구, 26(4), pp.33~54 (2010), 한국지역학회
  10. 지해명, "산업별 수요제약과 공급제약의 효과: 산업연관분석의 RS모형과 내·외생변수 전환모형의 적용성 검토", 한국경제연구, 29(1), pp.133~156 (2011), 한국경제연구학회
  11. 지해명, "지역간 생산승수와 생산연계구조: 지역경제성장의 제약요인 분석", 경제학연구, 59(1), pp.131~161 (2011), 한국경제학회
  12. Development of Analytical Model of Price Ripple Effects in the Busan Region: Based on Regional Price Ripple Effects of Public Utility Prices, "Ju, S", Busan Development Institute, ~ (2004)
  13. 김호언, "産業聯關模型에서 經濟的 波及效果의 過大推定은 왜 發生하는가? 새로운 “産出?産出模型”을 통한 代案을 中心으로", 경제학연구, 56(1), pp.31~56 (2008), 한국경제학회
  14. 김종구, "지역 산업연관모형에 의한 공공요금 인상의 지역물가 파급효과 분석", 산업경제연구, 22(2), pp.939~958 (2009), 한국산업경제학회
  15. Lee, C., "Analysis of Regional Price Ripple Effects Through Industry Association Model", The Korean Economic Association, 49(2), pp.111~134 (2000)
  16. Lee, I, "Analysis of Effects of International Raw Material Price Fluctuations on Domestic Prices: Using Industry Association Analysis Model", Public Finance Review, 61, pp.61~89 (2010), The Korean Association of Public Finance
  17. 이승철, "산업연관 분석을 이용한 부동산 산업의 경제적 파급효과 분석", 부동산연구, 19(1), pp.5~26 (2009), 한국부동산연구원
  18. Lee, G., "Effects Exogenous Price Changes on a Regional Economy", International Regional Review, 2(1), pp.15~27 (1977)
  19. Lewis, B, "District-Level Economics Linkages in Kenya: Evidence Based of a Small Regional Social Accounting Matrix", World Development, 20(6), pp.881~897 (1992)
  20. Miller, R, "Input-Output Analysis: Foundations and Extensions" (1985), Prentice-Hall
  21. Miller, R, "Input-Output Analysis: Foundations and Extensions" (2009), Prentice-Hall
  22. Moses, L, "Outputs and Prices in Inter-industry models", Papers of the Regional Science Association, 32, pp.7~18 (1974)
  23. Polenske, K, "Energy Analysis and the Determination of Multi-regional Prices", Papers of the Regional Science Association, 43, pp.83~97 (1978)
  24. Basic I-O Terminology, "Ritz P", U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Commerce, ~ (1975)
  25. Shin, Y, "Macroeconomic Effects of Electricity Price Adjustments", International Economy Research, 2(2), pp.21~40 (1996)
  26. Tiebout, C., "An Empirical Regional Input-Output Projection Model: The State of Washington 1980", Review of Economics and Statistics, 51(3), pp.334~340 (1960)

관련 논문AI추천

이 간행물의 다른 논문 (6건)