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장마철 첫 강수의 경제적 가치

An Economic Value for the First Precipitation Event during Changma Period

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주제분류대기과학

초록

This study evaluates the economic values for the several first precipitation events during Changma period. The selected three years are 2015, 2019, and 2020, where average precipitation amounts across the 58 Korean stations are 12.8, 20.1 and 13.3 mm, respectively. The four categories are used to assess the values including air quality improvement, water resource acquisition/accumulation, drought mitigation, and forest fire prevention/recovery. Economic values for these three years are estimated 50~150 billion won. Among the four factors considered, the effect of air quality improvement is most highly valued, amounting to 70 to 90% of the total economic values. Wet decomposition of air pollution (PM10, NO2, CO, and SO2) is the primary reason. The next valuable element is water resource acquisition, which is estimated 9~15 billion won. Effects of drought mitigation and fire prevention are deemed relatively small. This study is the first to estimate the value of the precipitation events during Changma onset. An analysis for more Changma years will be performed to achieve a more reliable estimate.

Abstract

This study evaluates the economic values for the several first precipitation events during Changma period. The selected three years are 2015, 2019, and 2020, where average precipitation amounts across the 58 Korean stations are 12.8, 20.1 and 13.3 mm, respectively. The four categories are used to assess the values including air quality improvement, water resource acquisition/accumulation, drought mitigation, and forest fire prevention/recovery. Economic values for these three years are estimated 50~150 billion won. Among the four factors considered, the effect of air quality improvement is most highly valued, amounting to 70 to 90% of the total economic values. Wet decomposition of air pollution (PM10, NO2, CO, and SO2) is the primary reason. The next valuable element is water resource acquisition, which is estimated 9~15 billion won. Effects of drought mitigation and fire prevention are deemed relatively small. This study is the first to estimate the value of the precipitation events during Changma onset. An analysis for more Changma years will be performed to achieve a more reliable estimate.

참고문헌 (9)

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  3. K-water Research Institute Annual Report, "KRI", Kwater Research Institute, 89~ (2020)
  4. 이승욱, "제주지역 장마가 지역 유통업 매출액에 미치는 영향", 기후연구, 9(4), pp.303~314 (2014), 기후연구소[DOI]
  5. 이영곤, "오랜 가뭄 뒤 내린 비에 대한 긍정적 측면의 경제적 가치 연구: 2009년 4월 20~21일 강수 사례 중심으로", 대기, 20(2), pp.173~186 (2010), 한국기상학회
  6. NFA, "White Note on Fire Disaster 2018", pp.189~ (2019), National Fire Agency
  7. 박소연, "수자원 측면에서의 봄비의 경제적 가치평가 사례 연구", 한국환경과학회지, 23(2), pp.193~205 (2014), 한국환경과학회[DOI]
  8. 서경환, "장마의 재조명", 대기, 21(2), pp.109~121 (2011), 한국기상학회
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