Vulnerability as Expected Poverty in Rural India
2
조회
0
다운로드
0
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
Using a unique panel data for rural India for the periods 1999 and 2006 this paper models vulnerability to poverty. We quantify household vulnerability in rural India in 1999 and 2006, investigate the determinants of ex post poverty as well as ex ante vulnerability, assess the role of ex ante vulnerability on poverty shift during the sample periods (i.e. movement into/out of poverty) and finally, examine how the effects of the determinants of vulnerability vary at different points across the vulnerability distribution. We conclude that over time economic growth has reduced the incidence of poverty. Although chronic poverty is relatively small the high incidence of transient poverty underscores the importance of covariate and idiosyncratic shocks. Household vulnerability across the distribution of such vulnerability is also investigated. A number of factors affect such vulnerability across this distribution. Thus the paper isolates a number of characteristics of households and policy variables which can be targeted to reduce the incidence of vulnerability in rural India.
Abstract
Using a unique panel data for rural India for the periods 1999 and 2006 this paper models vulnerability to poverty. We quantify household vulnerability in rural India in 1999 and 2006, investigate the determinants of ex post poverty as well as ex ante vulnerability, assess the role of ex ante vulnerability on poverty shift during the sample periods (i.e. movement into/out of poverty) and finally, examine how the effects of the determinants of vulnerability vary at different points across the vulnerability distribution. We conclude that over time economic growth has reduced the incidence of poverty. Although chronic poverty is relatively small the high incidence of transient poverty underscores the importance of covariate and idiosyncratic shocks. Household vulnerability across the distribution of such vulnerability is also investigated. A number of factors affect such vulnerability across this distribution. Thus the paper isolates a number of characteristics of households and policy variables which can be targeted to reduce the incidence of vulnerability in rural India.
참고문헌 (16)
- Does Vulnerability Create Poverty Traps?, "Barrientos, A.", Chronic Poverty Research Centre, The University of Manchester, ~, pp.CPRC Working Paper No. 76 (2007)
- Chaudhuri, S., "Assessing Vulnerability to Poverty: Concepts, Empirical Methods and Illustrative Examples", pp.2003
- Assessing Household Vulnerability to Poverty: A Methodology and Estimates for Indonesia, "Chaudhuri, S.", Columbia University, ~, pp.Discussion Paper, No. 0102-52 (2002)
- Deaton, A., "The Analysis of Household Surveys: A Microeconometric Approach to Development Policy" (1997), The Johns Hopkins University Press
- Dercon, S., "Insurance Against Poverty" (2005), Oxford University Press
- Gaiha, R., "Persistent, Expected and Innate Poverty: Estimates for Semi Arid Rural India, 1974-1984", Cambridge Journal of Economics, 17(4), pp.409~421 (1993)
- Hammarstedt, M., "Immigrants’ Relative Earnings in Sweden ― A Quantile Regression Approach", International Journal of Manpower, 28(6), pp.456~473 (2007)
- Imai, K., "Vulnerability and Poverty Dynamics in Vietnam", Applied Economics, 43(25), pp.3603~3618 (2011)
- Jalan, J., "Behavioral Responses to Risk in Rural China", Journal of Development Economics, 66(1), pp.23~49 (2001)
- Koenker, R., "Regression Quantiles", Econometrica, 46(1), pp.33~50 (1978)
- Koenker, R., "Quantile Regression", Journal of Economic Perspectives, 15(4), pp.143~156 (2001)
- McCulloch, N., "Vulnerability and Chronic Poverty in Rural Sichuan", World Development, 31(3), pp.611~628 (2003)
- Ravallion, M., "Expected Poverty under Risk-Induced Welfare Variability", The Economic Journal, 98(393), pp.1171~1182 (1988)
- The Evolution of Poverty during the Crisis in Indonesia, 1996 to 1999(Using Full Susenas Sample), "Suryahadi, A.", Social Monitoring & Early Response Unit, ~ (2000)
- Townsend, R., "Risk and Insurance in Rural India", Econometrica, 62(3), pp.539~591 (1994)
- Udry, C., "Credit Markets in Northern Nigeria: Credit as Insurance in a Rural Economy", World Bank Economic Review, 4(3), pp.251~269 (1990)