국제적 생산분할에 따른 ASEAN 국가들의 중간재무역 비교연구
A Comparative Study on Intermediate Goods Trade in ASEAN Countries According to International Production Fragmentation
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초록
The analysis of the intermediate goods trade of ASEAN countries was carried out. The findings ar as follows: First, among the ASEAN countries to be analyzed, Vietnam has been increasing its imports of intermediate goods from Korea in recent years. However, intermediate goods imports from Korea are still smaller than those of China or Japan in ASEAN countries except Vietnam. Second, intermediate goods imports from China in six ASEAN countries have increased significantly in recent years. Third, imports from Japan from six ASEAN countries were most active and large in six ASEAN countries ten years ago. Although it still remains, it has been in decline recently. Fourth, as a result of analyzing the determinants of intermediate goods import, six ASEAN countries showed that the higher the GDP of the trading partner, the higher the intermediate goods import and the smaller the distance. Fifth, as a proxy variable to gauge the gap in technology level with trading partners, the larger the difference in GDP per capita, the greater the intermediate goods import. Sixth, the flow of intermediate goods in six ASEAN countries does not occur in one direction between countries. Seventh, with the exception of Singapore's intermediary trade structure, it does not import more from countries with FTAs. Eighth, the same ASEAN member countries may have different effects, depending on the country. Finally, they import relatively much from the East Asian countries of Korea, China and Japan.
Abstract
The analysis of the intermediate goods trade of ASEAN countries was carried out. The findings ar as follows: First, among the ASEAN countries to be analyzed, Vietnam has been increasing its imports of intermediate goods from Korea in recent years. However, intermediate goods imports from Korea are still smaller than those of China or Japan in ASEAN countries except Vietnam. Second, intermediate goods imports from China in six ASEAN countries have increased significantly in recent years. Third, imports from Japan from six ASEAN countries were most active and large in six ASEAN countries ten years ago. Although it still remains, it has been in decline recently. Fourth, as a result of analyzing the determinants of intermediate goods import, six ASEAN countries showed that the higher the GDP of the trading partner, the higher the intermediate goods import and the smaller the distance. Fifth, as a proxy variable to gauge the gap in technology level with trading partners, the larger the difference in GDP per capita, the greater the intermediate goods import. Sixth, the flow of intermediate goods in six ASEAN countries does not occur in one direction between countries. Seventh, with the exception of Singapore's intermediary trade structure, it does not import more from countries with FTAs. Eighth, the same ASEAN member countries may have different effects, depending on the country. Finally, they import relatively much from the East Asian countries of Korea, China and Japan.
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