신선농산물 수출의 결정요인과 지원 효과 분석
Factors Influencing the Export of Agricultural Products and Effects of Export Support Programs in Korea
0
조회
0
다운로드
38
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
This paper analyzes what factors affect Korea's agricultural export. With a dataset of agricultural export for the period of 2003~2009 and several explanatory variables, we specify an export equation derived from the gravity model, and then estimate it using the random-effect panel Tobit. The main findings are as follows: first, Korean agricultural exports have increased faster and greater in bigger markets with respect to GDP. Second, the distance from Korea or transportation cost is a critical factor determining the agricultural export. Third, the export support programs are proved to play a crucial role in boosting the export of fresh agricultural products. Fourth, the effect of relative exchange rates on the agricultural export is shown to be ambiguous or inconsistent from product to product. Finally, the number of Korean expatriates in foreign markets has a positive effect on the export performance.
Abstract
This paper analyzes what factors affect Korea's agricultural export. With a dataset of agricultural export for the period of 2003~2009 and several explanatory variables, we specify an export equation derived from the gravity model, and then estimate it using the random-effect panel Tobit. The main findings are as follows: first, Korean agricultural exports have increased faster and greater in bigger markets with respect to GDP. Second, the distance from Korea or transportation cost is a critical factor determining the agricultural export. Third, the export support programs are proved to play a crucial role in boosting the export of fresh agricultural products. Fourth, the effect of relative exchange rates on the agricultural export is shown to be ambiguous or inconsistent from product to product. Finally, the number of Korean expatriates in foreign markets has a positive effect on the export performance.
참고문헌 (23)
- 강한균, "동남아지역의 한류 문화콘텐츠가 한국의 수출과 FDI에 미치는 경제적 효과", 무역학회지, 34(1), pp.29~47 (2009), 한국무역학회
- 곽창근, "한·EU 자유무역협정이 농식품부문에 미치는 영향 : 중력모형 접근", 농업경제연구, 51(1), pp.1~18 (2010), 한국농업경제학회
- 김경필, "농축산물 수출 물류비의 지원효과 검증", 농업과학연구, 38(1), pp.173~181 (2011), 농업과학연구소
- 김경필, "농식품 수출지원제도 개선방안" (2011), 한국농촌경제연구원
- 농축산물 판매촉진사업 제도개선 연구, "김성훈", 한국농촌경제연구원, ~ (2009)
- 김한호, "중력모형을 이용한 한국 과실류의 교역형태 분석", 농촌경제, 32(3), pp.47~70 (2009), 한국농촌경제연구원
- 농림수산식품 주요통계, "농림수산식품부", ~ (2010)
- 농림수산식품부, "2011년 농식품 수출확대 정책 추진방향(안)", 농어민신문사 수출간담회 발표자료 (2011)
- 농림수산식품부, "농림수산식품 수출진흥사업 안내", ~ (2011)
- 2011년 농림수산식품 수출동향, "농수산식품유통공사", 농수산식품유통공사, ~ (2012)
- 임정빈, "원예부문의 수출 결정요인 분석", 농업경영·정책연구, 38(1), pp.60~77 (2011), 한국농식품정책학회
- 한국농촌경제연구원, "농정포커스", 농정포커스, (3) (2011)
- 농업전망 2012, "한국농촌경제연구원", ~ (2012)
- Breen, R., "Regression Models: Censored, sample-selected, or truncated data" (1996), Sage Publications, Inc
- Cameron, C. A., "Microecometrics: Methods and Applications" (2005), Cambridge University Press
- Greene, W. H., "Econometric analysis(7th ed.)" (2011), Prentice-Hall, Inc
- Heckman, J. J., "Sample selection bias as a specification error", Econometrica, 47(1), pp.153~161 (1979)
- U.S. Agriculture and the Free Trade Area of the Americas, "Mary E. Burfisher", ~, pp.Agricultural Economic Report No. 827 (2004)
- Tobin, J., "Estimation of relationship for Limited Dependent Variables", Econometrica, 26, pp.24~36 (1958)
- "국가통계포털"[URL]
- "한국무역협회"[URL]
- "International Monetary Fund"[URL]