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수입 오렌지와 국내산 과일 수요의 가격 및 지출 탄력성 추정

Estimates of Price and Expenditure Elasticities of Demand for Imported Orange and Domestically Produced Fruits in Korea

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키워드

주제분류농업경제학

초록

The Rotterdam demand model, first proposed by Theil and Barten, is used to find estimates of price and expenditure elasticities of imported fruits and domestically produced fruits in Korea. This model consists of 6 demand equations of apple, pear, tangerine, sweet persimmon, orange and banana. The major implications with the estimates of individual price and expenditure elasticities are summarized as follows. The demand for orange is expected to increase by 38.1% if seasonal duties would be abolished in 2018 in accordance with the Korea-U.S. free trade agreement. Also the demand for Korean pear would decrease by 19.9% as a consequence of the substitution effect. We also found that price elasticity of imported orange with respect to the demand for Korean tangerine is not statistically significant. This implies that Korean tangerine is mostly sold from Oct. to Feb. while imported orange is mostly sold from Mar. into the summer months every year.

Abstract

The Rotterdam demand model, first proposed by Theil and Barten, is used to find estimates of price and expenditure elasticities of imported fruits and domestically produced fruits in Korea. This model consists of 6 demand equations of apple, pear, tangerine, sweet persimmon, orange and banana. The major implications with the estimates of individual price and expenditure elasticities are summarized as follows. The demand for orange is expected to increase by 38.1% if seasonal duties would be abolished in 2018 in accordance with the Korea-U.S. free trade agreement. Also the demand for Korean pear would decrease by 19.9% as a consequence of the substitution effect. We also found that price elasticity of imported orange with respect to the demand for Korean tangerine is not statistically significant. This implies that Korean tangerine is mostly sold from Oct. to Feb. while imported orange is mostly sold from Mar. into the summer months every year.

참고문헌 (17)

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  10. 수입품이 국내산을 얼마나 대체할 수 있을까?. DDA, "FTA 연구시리즈 11", 이정환, 2007, 시선집중 GS&J 제32호
  11. 한미 FTA를 해부한다⑴: 쇠고기와 오렌지. DDA, "FTA 연구시리즈 12", 이정환, 2007, 시선집중 GS&J 제35호
  12. Barten, A. P., "Evidence on the Slutsky Conditions for Demand Equations", Review of Economics and Statistics, 49, pp.77~88 (1968)
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  15. Theil, H., "Economics and Information Theory" (1967), North-Holland
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  17. William A. Barnett, "Rotterdam Model versus Almost Ideal Demand System: Will the Best Specification Please Stand Up?" (2007), California State University

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